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Staff Report - Council Retreat~owN nF MEETING DATE: 01-27-06 _ 01-28-06 s. COUNCIL RETREAT R 8 Ohl OS COUNCIL AGENDA REPORT DATE: January 24, .2006 TO: MAYOR AND TOWN COUNCIL ~J FROM: DEBRA J. FIGONE, TOWN MANAGER SUBJECT: 2006 COUNCIL RETREAT Attached is background material for the Council discussion at the Saturday, January 28th session of the 2006 Council Retreat. The material provides selected demographic information about Los Gatos, a comparison of state and Town demographics, Los Gatos and U.S. trends, regional trends, and Los Gatos sales tax data. It is not expected that staff will present the information at the Retreat; rather, the Council is being provided this information as background for the discussion about the vision for Los Gatos in the year 2020 and key strategic issues related to the vision. Attachments: 1. Demographic Information and Trends 2. Town of Los Gatos Sales Tax Data . plu'u ~ 6 01( 6_42_0 PREPARED BY: PAMELA S. JACOBS ASSISTANT TOWN MANAGER PSJ:pg N:\1\4GR\PJacobs\Counci1 Retreat\2006 Staff Reportmpd Reviewed by: Assistant Town Manager . Finance Community Development Town Attorney Clerk Administrator Revised: 1/26/06 12:10 pm Reformatted: 5/30/02 Los Gatos Demographics (2000 Census) Population: 28,592 (47.5% male; 52.5% female) Age: Under 5 5.0% 5 to 14 12.6% 15 to 19 5.0% 20 to 34 15.8% 35 to 54 34.6% 55 to 64 11.7% 65 and over 15.3% Median Age:41.2 Total Households: 11,988 W/under 18 28.6% W/65 and over 23.7% Owner-occupied 65.3% Renter-occupied 34.7% Average household size: 2.33 Average HH size-owner 2.54 Average HH size-renter 1.92 Education High school or higher 96.0% Bachelor's or higher 58.9% Graduate or professional 25.3% Median HH income: $94,319 Attachment 1 "Los Gatos (town) QuickFacts from. the US Census Bureau Pagel oft t. •Y State & County QuickFacts Los Gatos (town), California People QuickFacts Los Gatos . California Population, 2003 estimate 27,976 35,484,453 Population, percent change, April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2003 -2.2% 4.8% Population, 2000 28,592 33,871,648 Population, percent change, 1990 to 2000 4.4% 13.6% Persons under 5 years old, percent, 2000 5.0% 7.3% Persons under 18 years old, percent, 2000 21.2% 27.3% Persons 65 years old and over, percent, 2000 15.3% 10.6% Female persons, percent, 2000 52.5% . 50.2% White persons, percent, 2000 (a) 86.7% 50.5% Black or African American persons, percent, 2000.(a) 0.8% 6.7% American Indian and Alaska Native persons, percent, 2000 (a) 0.3% 1.0% Asian persons, percent, 2000 (a) 7.6% 10.9% Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander, percent, 2000 (a) 0.1% 0.3% Persons reporting some other race, percent, 2000 (a) 1,3% 16.8% Persons reporting two or more races, percent, 2000 3:3%0 4.79/0 Persons of Hispanic or Latino origin, percent, 2000 (b) 5.2% 32.4% Living in same house in 1995 and 2000', pct age 5+,.2000 54.7% 50.2% Foreign born persons, percent, 2000 14.9% 26.2% Language other than English spoken at home; pct age 5+, 2000 17.4% 39.5% High school graduates, percent of persons age 25+, 2000 96.0% 76.8% Bachelor's degree or higher, pct of persons age 25+, 2000 58.9% 26.6% Mean travel time to work (minutes), workers age 16+, 2000 26.6 27.7 Housing units, 2000 12,367 12,214,549 Homeownership rate, 2000 65.3% 56.9% Median value of owner-occupied housing units, 2000 $784,600 .$211,500 Households, 2000 11,988 1.1,502,870 Persons per household, 2000 2.33 2.87 Median household income, 1999 $94,319 $47,493 http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/06/0644112.html 1/13/2006 g Los Gatos (town) QuickFacts from the US Census Bureau Per capita money income, 1999 $561094 Page 2 of 2 .$22,711 Persons below poverty, percent,, 1999 14.2% Business QuickFacts Los Gatos California Manufacturers shipments, 1997 ($1000) 136,389 31,700,008 Wholesale trade sales, 1997 ($1000) 272,575 548,864,451 Retail sales, 1997 ($1000) 484,879 263,118,346 Retail sales per capita, 1997 $16,663 $8,167 Accomodation and food servicessa les, 1997 ($1000) 79,392 42,312,641 Total number of firms, 1997 5,226 2,565,734 Minority-owned firms, percent of total, 1997 F 28.8% Women-owned firms, percent of total, 1997 47.7% 27.3% Geography QuickFacts Los Gatos California Land area, 2000 (square miles) 11 155,959 Persons per square mile, 2000 2,669.1 217.2 FIPS Code 44112 06 Counties (a) Includes persons reporting. only one. race. (b) Hispanics may be of any race, so also are included in applicable race categories. FN: Footnote on this item for this area in place of data NA: Not available D: Suppressed to avoid disclosure of confidential information X: Not applicable S: Suppressed; does not meet publication standards Z: Value greater than zero but less than half unit of measure shown F: Fewer than 100 firms Source U.S. Census Bureau: State and County QuickFacts. Data derived from Population Estimates, 2000 Census of Population and Housing, 1990 Census of Population and Housing, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, County Business Patterns, 1997 Economic Census, Minority- and Women-Owned Business, Building Permits, Consolidated Federal Funds Report, 1997 Census of Governments Last Revised: Thursday, 12-Jan-2006 13:30:37 EST Census Bureau Links: http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/06/0644112.htrnl 1/13/2006 DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS LOS GATOS AND BEYOND Los Gatos v. U.S. Trends Population* Population in Los Gatos is estimated to have declined by 1.9% between 2000 and 2005. Over the next five years, the population is projected to decline by 2.0%. Population in the U.S. is estimated to have grown by 4.9% between 2000 and 2005. Over the next five years, the population is projected to grow by 4.9%. Median Age* ■ 2005 estimated median age in Los Gatos is 44.0. In 2010, it is estimated to be 46.6. 2005 estimated median age in U.S. is 36.2. In 2010, it is estimated to be 37.4. Internet Usage** In 2003, 87% of LG residents and 61.2% of residents 65 and over had access to the Internet. In the U.S., 54.6% of total households had access and 29.4% of households run by 65 year olds and over. Interesting Trends and Projections*** Third Place - Americans are starting to claim a "third place" for spending time. In addition to the two primary places, home and work or school, people are seeking a third place. Typical third places are coffee shops, gyms, libraries, churches, parks/trails, and others. Cocooning - People are feeling the need for security and safety and are returning to the comforts of home (or maybe of their third place as noted above). This migration back to home is taking the form of the family dinner or outing. Mr. Moms - Generation X dads are spending more time with their families, by being a stay-at-home parent, giving up promotions, working part-time, etc. Baby Boomers Redefine Old - Given their large numbers, baby boomers can call the shots about age. Surveys say that boomers define "old age" as starting at 80. As boomers develop special age-related needs (e.g., seeing, hearing, and getting around issues), they will look for accommodation that doesn't feel/look like something for the elderly. * From Claritas, Inc. projections based on census From ClickZ Network Faith Popcorn Predictions SELECTED REGIONAL TRENDS Joint Venture's 2005 Index Economy ■ Despite continuing job loss in the Valley, productivity and per capita income has increased. ■ Silicon Valley venture capital investments increased by 15% in 2004 - rising for the first time since the peak in 2000. The region receives 35% of the nation's venture capital, up from 14% in 1995. ■ The economic base of the region is shifting, as established industry clusters such as software and semiconductors transform (moving more to a design focus) and new clusters such as biomedical emerge. ■ Commercial vacancy rates continue to rise, and commercial space rents are increasing for the first time since 2000, with the exception of R & D. ■ The Bay Area has the lowest rate of households connected to the Internet among similar technology areas in the U.S. (Los Gatos' rate is higher than any of the other regions.) The percentage of households using broadband (DSL) or cable-modem service in the Bay Area is lower than other technology regions, but higher than the nation as a whole. Land Use, Development and the Environment ■ The pattern of new development has shifted toward much more compact, transit-oriented housing and commercial uses, along with greater open- space preservation. ■ Newly approved.housing is more dense than at any time in the past six years. Average gross density grew from 6.6. units per acre in 1998 to 12.9 units per acre in 2003. ■ The percentage of permanently protected open space has grown from 22% in 1998 to 26% in 2004. ■ Silicon Valley cities approved 37% more new housing in 2004, but only 14% of approvals were affordable compared to 23% in 2003. ■ The Valley's households and businesses consumed less electricity in 2003 than in 2004 primarily due to a decline in employment. Per capita electricity use has increased. The installation of solar systems has increased, however, growing from 5 in 1998 to 315 in 2004 (October). TOWN OF LOS GATOS SALES TAX DATA Town Sales Tax Mix Annual Sales Tax Total $7.3 Million Netflix, 18% Others, 39% Auto Dealers, 23% Downtown 20% ®NetFlix $1.3M ®Auto Dealers $1.7M ❑ Downtown Businesses $1.5M ❑ Others $2.9M Of the annual total sales tax received by the Town, the latest 2"" quarter 2005 collections data indicate the following trends: • Sales Tax accounts for approximately 30% of General Fund operating revenues used to deliver Town services. • Netflix is the Town's #1 sales tax generator. Auto dealerships represent 7 of the top ten sales tax generators. The tenth top sales tax generators is a retail gas station located on Los Gatos Boulevard. Safeway stores with 3 locations finished the year at the eighth position in the top ten. • Auto Dealerships revenue prior to the closing of two dealership locations (Swanson Ford and Los Gatos Auto Mall) account for approximately 23% of the total Town sales tax. If the two dealerships are lost permanently, auto dealer sales tax revenue is estimated to drop to approximately 18% of total Town sales tax representing a loss of approximately $300,000 to $400,000 in annual operating revenues. • Downtown businesses account for approximately 20%0 of total Town sales tax (gas stations represent 3,2% of this total). Attachment 2