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Study Session - VTA Capital Investment ProgramtowN nF MEETING DATE: 4/18/2005 STUDY SESSION rv. COUNCIL AGENDA REPORT IpS.G,ASOg DATE: APRIL 12, 2005 TO: MAYOR AND TOWN COUNCIL FROM: DEBRA J. FIGONE, TOWN MANAGE SUBJECT: SANTA CLARA VALLEY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY (VTA) - LONG-TERM TRANSIT CAPITAL INVESTMENT PROGRAM DISCUSSION: Attached, for your information, is a draft version of VTA's Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program. VTA staff will be presenting the program at Monday's meeting and answer any questions that Council may have. FISCAL IMPACT: None Attachment: Draft Version of VTA's Long Term Transit Capital Investment Program Distribution: Carolyn Gonot, Chief Development Officer - Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority - 3331 North First Street, San Jose CA 95134-1906 PREPARED BY: PAMELA S. JACOBS Assistant Town Manager PSJ:pg . N:\MGR\AdminWorkFiles\cnclrpts\4-18 VTA Long Term Transit CIP.wpd Reviewed by: Assistant Town Manager ILL-Town Attorney Clerk Administrator Finance Community Development Revised: 4/13/05 10:15 am Reformatted: 5/30/02 S A N T A C L A R A Valley Transportation Authority February 16, 2005 Mayor Mike Wasserman Town of Los Gatos 110 East Main Street Los Gatos, CA 95030 Dear May asserman: Attached is the draft version of VTA's Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program. This program outlines VTA's plan to fund transit services and various transit capital improvements over the next thirty years. The VTA Board of Directors is circulating the document for public comment and input. VTA recognized with the approval of the 2000 Measure A sales tax in November 2000 that another revenue stream would be necessary to operate 2000 Measure A projects as well as maintain existing operating and capital needs. A new revenue stream has become of most critical importance with the downturn of the economy in most recent years. Even though VTA has achieved financial stability in the near term, estimates of future sales tax revenues to fund transit capital improvements and maintain transit services have been lowered significantly. Following discussions at two workshops on October 1 and November 5, 2004, the VTA Board of Directors approved a preliminary revenue and expenditure plan that included a potential additional %z-cent sales tax to begin in fiscal year 2007 for transportation purposes. This approved funding scenario, which is outlined in the Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program, enables VTA to (1) deliver all 2000 Measure A projects, (2) maintain transit service levels, and (3) fund necessary equipment upgrades and maintenance for VTA's transit-related assets. The funding scenario assumes that the potential new %i -cent sales tax would be divided with VTA receiving 75 percent for transit operations and improvements and the County of Santa Clara and the 15 cities receiving the remaining 25 percent for roadway maintenance and operations. The VTA Board of Directors will hold a workshop on April 22, 2005 to discuss comments on the draft investment plan.. I am requesting that each city and the County provide VTA staff an opportunity to meet with you and your fellow council members to receive feedback on the plan prior to our workshop in April. If you would like to receive a presentation on the plan, either during a city council meeting or at a special working session, please contact VTA's Chief Development Officer, Carolyn Gonot, at 408.321.5623 to schedule a meeting. Sincerely, ia rperson oard of Directors C: VTA Board of Directors VTA Policy Advisory Committee Member VTA Technical Advisory Committee Member 3331 North First Street • San Jose, CA 95134-1906 - Administration 408.321.5555 - Customer Service 408.321.2300 PLEASE NOTE: A COPY OF THE DRAFT VERSION OF VTA' S LONG-TERM TRANSIT CAPITAL INVESTMENT PROGRAM IS AVAILABLE FOR REVIEW FROM THE CLERK DEPARTMENT M F' FOR PUBLIC S A N T A C L A Q A DRAFT Table of Contents Table o Figures iii Foreword v Chapter 1: Transit Capital Investment Programs .....................................1 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Program i Capital Investment Program for Ongoing Operations 2 Chapter 2: Financial Resources for Future Transit Capital Investments 5 Economic Effects on Future Transit Capital Improvement Projects 5 Federal Funding Sources 6 State Funding Sources 7 Local Funding Sources 9 Chapter 3: Transit Capital Revenue and Expenditure Plans 13 2000 Measure A Expenditure Plan 13 Funding for VTA's Capital Program to Support Operations 15 Appendices Appendix A 2000 Measure A Program Projected Revenues and Anticipated Expenditures 2000 Measure A Capital Investment Program Timeline Appendix B 2000 Measure A Program Project Fact Sheets Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program i This page was intentionally left blank. Valley Transportation Authority Valley Transportation Authority S A N T A C L A R A Table of Figures Figure 1-1: 2000 Measure A Progress Report (as of January 2005) 2 Figure 1-2: 2000 Measure A Sales Tax Projected Revenues 9 Figure 1-3: Use of 2000 Measure A Bond Proceeds 10 Figure 1-4: Summary of 2000 Measure A Program Projected Revenues & Expenditures 14 Figure 1-5: Summary of VTA Ongoing Operations Capital Program Projected Revenues & Expenditures 15 2000 Measure A Capital Investment Program Projected Revenues and Anticipated Expenditures ....................................Appendix A 2000 Measure A Capital Investment Program Timeline Appendix A Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program iii This page was intentionally left blank. Valley Transportation Authority S A N T A C L A R A Valley Transportation Authority Foreword In November 2000, the voters of Santa Clara County overwhelmingly endorsed a 30-year, '/2-cent sales tax to fund the 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Pro- gram. The program of transit projects includes the extension of BART to Silicon Valley; light rail into the east valley; conversion of VTA's light rail fleet to low floor vehicles; VTA service improvements; Caltrain service improvements and many other transit projects. While the 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Program involves major capital projects of importance to Santa Clara County's transportation system, VTA has many other capital projects that are essential to sustaining public transit service. This document, VTA's Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program, identifies all major transit projects and anticipated sources of revenue to fund improvements over the next 30 years. Development of a long-term plan requires a great deal of planning and input from the community, local stakeholders, and the VTA Board of Directors. This preliminary investment plan has been produced for circulation and public comment beginning February 2005. With the effects of the recent economic downturn still apparent, VTA developed a long-term funding scenario that allows all projects in 2000 Measure A to be implemented, provides for future service increases, and maintains VTA's existing and future bus and light rail fleet. The funding scenario presented in this docu- ment is based upon the premise that revenues from a new permanent 1/2-cent sales tax would become available in April 2007, of which 75 percent would go to VTA and 25 percent would go to the 15 cities and the County of Santa Clara for pave- ment management or other transportation-related purposes. Possible VTA Board action on adopting a Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program is anticipated in Summer 2005. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program This page was intentionally left blank. Valley Transportation Authority S A N T A ( L A R A Valley Transportation Authority Chapter 1: Transit Capital Investment Programs VTA's Long-Term Transit Capital Invest- . Improve bus service in major bus corri- ment Program describes planned improve- dors. ment projects and capital investments • Upgrade Altamont Commuter Express occurring in the next 30 years. The invest- (ACE) ment program is divided into two compo- • Improve Highway 17 Express bus ser- nents: (1) transit improvement projects in vice. the 2000 Measure A Transit Program, and • Connect Caltrain with Dumbarton Rail (2) ongoing transit capital investments nec- corridor essary to support basic transit services. • Purchase zero-emission buses and con- struct service facilities. 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Program The 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Program, a 30-year plan of major transit im- provement capital projects, was approved in November 2000 by over 70 percent of Santa Clara County's voters. 2000 Measure A listed the following countywide transit im- provement projects: • Fund operating and maintenance costs for increased bus, rail and paratransit service. • Extend BART to Silicon Valley through the Silicon Valley Rapid Transit Corri- dor (SVRTC). • Provide connections from Mineta San Jose International Airport to BART, Cal- train and VTA light rail. • Extend Light Rail from Downtown San Jose to the East Valley. • Purchase low-floor light rail vehicles. • Improve Caltrain: double-track to Gilroy and electrify from Palo Alto to Gilroy. • Increase Caltrain service. • Construct a New Palo Alto Intermodal Develop new light rail corridors. The 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Program is one component of VTA's long- range countywide transportation plan, Val- ley Transportation Plan (VTP) 2030. VTP 2030 outlines a balanced approach to im- proving Santa Clara County's transportation system, specifically denoting planned im- provements to roadways and highways, pub- lic transit, bicycle and pedestrian facilities, and technology infrastructure. Under a separate process, VTP 2030 was reviewed by local jurisdictions and adopted by the VTA Board of Directors on February 3, 2005. VTA has already begun work on 2000 Measure A by issuing a limited amount of bonds to purchase 70 additional low-floor vehicles; to acquire right-of-way; and to conduct environmental studies, preliminary engineering and design work for projects identified in 2000 Measure A. Figure 1-1 summarizes VTA's progress on 2000 Meas- ure A projects as of January 2005. Transit Center. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program Project Progress Low-Floor Light Rail Vehicles ✓ Additional 70 low-floor vehicles delivered and currently in revenue service. Downtown East Valley Transit ✓ Began preliminary engineering on Capitol Expressway Light Rail Improvement Plan Project to Nieman Boulevard. ✓ Continued environmental clearance for Capitol Expressway and Santa Clara Street/Alum Rock Avenue corridors. ✓ Continued federal environmental clearance studies. Silicon Valley Rapid Transit ✓ Completed and adopted final state-level environmental Corridor Project clearance in December 2004. ✓ Started preliminary engineering and value engineering. ✓ Purchased critical Union Pacific right-of-way. ✓ Continued federal-level environmental clearance studies. Dumbarton Rail ✓ Programmed VTA funding contribution for environmental studies and reports. Caltrain Service Upgrades ✓ Negotiated ability to expand five roundtrips to Gilroy. Caltrain South County Service ✓ Programmed $45 million in Long-Term Transit Capital Upgrades Investment Program for track improvements by 2010 for service upgrades. Caltrain Electrification ✓ Programmed funding in Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program to match Caltrain's Short-Range Transit Plan. New Rail Corridors Study ✓ Programmed $1.3 million in Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program to begin study in 2005. Zero-emission Bus Demonstration ✓ Three zero-emission buses received with in-service testing to begin in early 2005. Capital Investment Program for Ongoing Operations In addition to the 2000 Measure A projects, an on-going capital investment program is necessary to maintain and upgrade VTA's operations-related assets. Activities include fleet replacement, facility and infrastructure upgrades and maintenance, and capital con- tributions to Caltrain and Altamont Com- muter Express (ACE) services. These ac- tivities are not included in the 2000 Measure A Transit Program. Projected revenues and expenditures for ongoing operations will be updated through VTA's internal Capital Im- provement Program Oversight Committee as part of the budget process and VTA's Short Range Transit Plan. 2 Valley Transportation Authority Capital projects to support VTA operations are grouped into the following categories. Revenue Vehicles and Equipment VTA currently has a fleet of 523 diesel- powered buses. Of these buses, 433 are part of the active fleet (buses required to meet service demand) and the remaining 90 are part of the inactive fleet. At present, 234 of the buses are low-floor. All future bus pur- chases will be of the low-floor design. VTA has established a replacement program based on operating buses for 15 years. As a result of this cycle, VTA will replace an av- erage of 20 to 40 buses annually, with the heaviest replacements needed after 2013. Because VTA has reduced service, the total fleet will be reduced over time by phasing- out the inactive fleet. In total, nearly 100 buses due for replacement from 2006 to 2008 will instead be retired. The phased reduction will enable VTA to reach a 20 percent spare level in 2009. A replacement farebox system will also be installed to im- prove reliability and accountability as well as allow for integration with other on-board systems including TransLink. VTA's fleet of low-floor light rail vehicles will receive routine preventative mainte- nance to retain a high state of reliability throughout the life of the vehicles. In time, vehicles will eventually receive new HVAC components, brakes, pantographs, and other interior and exterior components. VTA has determined that the optimal point to replace non-revenue vehicles to minimize repair costs and maximize reliability is be- tween 6 and 20 years, and a minimum of 85,000 miles, depending on vehicle type and usage. A total of 264 support-type vehicle replacements are forecasted over 10 years. Operating Facilities and Equipment Included in this category are maintenance, rehabilitation and expansion projects for VTA's bus operating divisions, the overhaul and repair facility, and the Guadalupe Light Rail Maintenance Facility. VTA's operating divisions have been in operation for 15 to 20 years and will require reconstruction, recon- figuration, and expansion to accommodate VTA's needs in the next 10 years. Facilities will also be upgraded to accommodate VTA's fleet of zero-emission buses. Light Rail Way, Power and Signal Way, Power and Signal (WP&S) projects include all work associated with maintaining the backbone elements of the light rail sys- tem (exclusive of vehicles), including track, right-of-way, structures, traction power, sig- nals, and station platforms. Since many elements of the light rail system are 16 years old, VTA has now entered a phase where it is beginning to face needs for rehabilitation or replacement of WP&S elements. The current capital program identifies sev- eral WP&S projects required to improve rail service reliability, flexibility, and safety. Projects include signal retrofits, station plat- form retrofits along the Guadalupe Light Rail corridor, substation and rail rehabilita- tion and replacement. Passenger Facilities The VTA passenger facility capital program includes bus stop improvements, light rail station improvements, construction or Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program improvement of transit centers and park & ride lots, and replacement or upgrading of transit passenger amenities such as informa- tion signs, benches, and bike lockers. Pas- senger facility projects provide a means of attracting new riders and improving service to existing riders. VTA plans to implement major upgrades along Bus Line 22, the most heavily used bus route, for future bus rapid transit ser- vice. Other passenger facility upgrades in- clude historic preservation or rehabilitation at transit centers and Caltrain facilities, in- stallation of Intelligent Transportation Sys- tems to provide real-time information, and bus stop accessibility improvements. VTA has also scheduled rehabilitation projects at the Tamien Child Care Center, including carpet and vinyl floor replacement, painting, and other repairs. Information Systems and Technology Information systems and technology projects include not only traditional computer sys- tems projects, but also new communications, operations and fare collection projects that will use electronics and software to signifi- cantly change the way VTA does business. Projects underway or planned at VTA in- clude upgrades to the VTA Customer Ser- vice Call Center and replacement of VTA's information technology infrastructure. Miscellaneous Administrative Projects VTA will use federal Section 5307 Transit Enhancement funds to restore the water tower on the Vasona Light Rail Project. The water tower, which was dismantled and temporarily stored during Vasona construc- tion, is a contributing structure to the Diri- don Station and is listed on the National Register of Historic Places. The tower will be restored to meet historic building code requirements for seismic and wind forces and relocated to a new site near the Diridon Station. Other projects included in this category will upgrade VTA operator facili- ties to new standards. VTA anticipates financing the 2000 Meas- ure A Program and capital investments for ongoing operations with federal, state, and local funding sources. The following sec- tion describes those funding sources and VTA's revenue estimates for the 30-year program. 4 Valley Transportation Authority Chapter 2: Financial Resources for Future Transit Capital Investments In the 2002 and 2003 fiscal years, during the most recent economic recession in Silicon Valley, VTA saw its sales tax revenues de- cline almost $50 million for an unprece- dented 10 consecutive quarters. The downturn resulted in significant operating deficits, necessitating VTA to implement service reductions, fare increases and inter- nal cost-containment strategies. VTA also began to evaluate the viability of the various funding sources that would finance future capital improvements, specifically for the 2000 Measure A transit projects. Measure A Transit Improvement Program. To ensure funding for the entire program and provide VTA with long-term financial stability for its existing system, four funding scenarios were considered. Funding Scenarios Considered for the 2000 Measure A Program Four long-term financial scenarios were evaluated: 1. No new tax or revenue stream. Economic Effects on Future 2. New permanent 1/4-cent sales tax. Transit Capital Improvement 3. New permanent %z-cent sales tax. Projects At the time of the November 2000 vote, 4. revenues from 2000 Measure A were as- sumed at approximately $6 billion (in 2000 dollars) over a 30-year period. VTA antici- pates that the current economic downturn will decrease potential receipts from 2000 Measure A to approximately $4.4 billion (in 2000 dollars), or $9.9 billion when escalated to year of receipt. As a result, the VTA Board of Directors evaluated and refined VTA's long-term capital investment program during a series of workshops in August, October, and No- vember 2004. The program for transit capi- tal improvements would be designed to deliver all projects identified in the 2000 New permanent 1/2-cent sales tax, but with five-year delays for the Silicon Valley Rapid Transit Corridor (SVRTC) and Downtown East Valley (DTEV) projects. Of the four scenarios, scenarios 1 and 2 did not generate sufficient revenue to complete and operate all projects in the 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Program. The VTA Board also chose to eliminate scenario 4 from consideration. It was shown that de- laying construction for both the SVRTC and DTEV projects would result in significantly increased project costs. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program Selected Funding Strategy Based on initial direction from the VTA Board, the long-term investment strategy has been further refined with the following con- ditions: A "potential new permanent 1/2-cent sales tax" (75 percent to VTA) is included for VTA's operating budget and 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Pro- gram. All sales tax projections reflect the mid- point between the Center for the Con- tinuing Study of the California Economy's (CCSCE) conservative and moderate projections, which were up- dated in July 2004. Program expenditures and project deliv- ery timelines have been revised based on VTA Board comments to advance the Caltrain electrification project, consis- tent with Caltrain's Short Range Transit Plan. Revenue projections are based on the as- sumption of a new permanent %z-cent sales tax becoming available in April 2007, of which 75 percent would go to VTA and 25 percent would go to the 15 cities and the County of Santa Clara for pavement man- agement or other transportation-related pur- poses. An affirmative action by the VTA Board to adopt this Investment Plan does not endorse or authorize placing the referenced 1/2-cent sales tax on the November 2006 ballot. If a new sales tax ballot measure were un- successful in November 2006, VTA would revert to scenario 1, the "No New Tax" sce- nario, which would mean that VTA may begin to experience operating cash deficits as early as FY 2008. Such a scenario would seriously curtail any capital program and necessitate a re-evaluation of 2000 Measure A sales tax revenues and VTA service levels required to balance future budgets. Given VTA's Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program covers a 30-year pe- riod, certain assumptions regarding the availability of federal, state and local fund- ing and revenue amounts were made. As- sumptions must be re-evaluated and updated on at least an annual basis to ensure that the forecasts reflect the most current economic trends and funding availability. The following sections describe each fed- eral, state, and local funding source identi- fied to finance the 2000 Measure A and the Ongoing Operations Capital Programs. Federal Funding Sources Federal New Starts Funding Federal Section 5309 New Starts funds of $973 million are projected for the SVRTC project. Although the Federal Transit Ad- ministration (FTA) gave the SVRTC Project a "not recommended" rating in its 2004 and 2005 Annual New Starts Reports, such ac- tion does not preclude the possibility of ob- taining federal funding for the project. Therefore, VTA will continue to submit re- quests for Section 5309 New Starts funding for the project through the annual federal appropriations process. Federal New Starts funds are received on a reimbursement ba- sis. As of November 30, 2004, $4.7 million has been earmarked for SVRTC preliminary engineering, of which $246,000 has been received by VTA. Valley Transportation Authority Federal Funding for Transit Operations The federal funding assumptions for the FTA Section 5307 Urbanized Area Formula and the Section 5309 Fixed Guideway pro- grams are based on revenue projections pro- vided by the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) in its Transportation 2030 Plan. MTC's estimates are based on the federal FY 2004 FTA apportionments and assume a three percent growth rate. A historic review of the Section 5307 and Sec- tion 5309 apportionments from FY 1998 to FY 2003 indicates an 8.0 percent and 9.0 percent annual growth rate respectively for the program. However, due to the fact that the reauthorization bill is still being debated and the economy remains uncertain, MTC is using a more conservative growth rate of 3.0 percent for this period. The FTA Section 5307 Formula program makes funds available primarily for capital projects. Preventive Maintenance is an eli- gible capital expenditure under this program. Funds awarded for Preventive Maintenance essentially function to support the mainte- nance portion of the operating budget. Prior to the economic downturn, VTA util- ized small amounts of Preventive Mainte- nance to accelerate cash flow and free up local funding to underwrite capital expendi- tures. However, between FY 2002 and FY 2005, as sales tax revenues declined and economic conditions worsened, VTA began to maximize the use of Preventive Mainte- nance as a bridging strategy to reduce oper- ating deficits. An average of $36 million was programmed annually for Preventive Maintenance over the four-year period. Beginning in FY 2006, VTA is forecasting its Preventive Maintenance program at $20 million and $25 million in FY 2007. In FY 2008, Preventive Maintenance is further re- duced to $15 million annually escalated over the 30-year period at a rate of 3.5 percent per year. This will allow the VTA to resume using the majority of its Section 5307 funds for planned capital improvements. State Funding Sources Traffic Congestion Relief Program In 2000, the Traffic Congestion Relief Pro- gram (TCRP) was enacted, directing reve- nues generated by the State sales tax on gas and diesel fuel from the State General Fund to transportation. TCRP funds in the amount of $649 million are earmarked for the SVRTC project. These funding commit- ments continue to be carried in the State budget, but are currently unfunded. The FY 2005 state budget package author- ized the Department of Finance to issue bonds for transportation purposes backed by revenues generated through renegotiated gaming compacts with Native American tribes. A portion of this bond is dedicated for new allocations to the TCRP projects. In light of this situation, VTA has submitted an allocation request for approximately $100 million to the California Transporta- tion Commission (CTC) for preliminary en- gineering work for the SVRTC project. Additional TCRP allocation requests for the project will be submitted to the CTC in fu- ture fiscal years as the need arises, assuming sufficient appropriations for the TCRP by the California State Legislature. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program Proposition 42 STIP The transfer of gas tax revenues from the State General fund to TCRP was to occur during FY 2004 through FY 2008 only. However, in 2002, California voters passed State Proposition 42, making the transfer permanent. A portion of Proposition 42 funding goes to the State Transportation Im- provement Program (STIP). Proposition 42 STIP funds in the amount of $147.3 million are projected for the SVRTC project in addition to the TCRP allocation. Update on State Funding In January 2005, Governor Schwarzenegger released his proposed FY 2006 state budget. Relative to funding for transportation pro- jects, the Governor retained the TCRP in the budget with the following funding propos- als: Fully suspend Proposition 42, leaving the entire $1.3 billion in the General Fund to balance the State deficit. If en- acted, this proposal would eliminate funding for a number of transportation programs in FY 2006, including $678 million in TCRP funding. Support a constitutional amendment to prevent further taking of Proposition 42 funds out of transportation starting FY 2008. However, he has not stated whether he will propose suspension of Proposition 42 again for FY 2007. • Direct funding from the $1.5 billion in bonds backed by tribal gaming revenues to transportation projects in the budget year when and if the sale of the bonds is finalized. As part of the FY 2005 state budget pack- age, Assembly Bill (AB) 687 (Nunez) was enacted to ratify gaming compacts that Gov- ernor Schwarzenegger renegotiated with five Native American tribes. It also authorized the state to issue up to $1.5 billion in bonds backed by tribal gaming revenues from these compacts as a way to begin repaying the outstanding loans that have been made to the General Fund using various state transporta- tion accounts. AB 687 calls for transferring the first $1.2 billion in bond proceeds to the TCRP. Bonds were originally expected to be issued in January 2005. Recent developments, however, may jeopardize the timing of the bond issuance as well as the amount. A lawsuit has been filed by a coalition of card clubs and racetracks challenging the urgency provision contained in AB 687, which al- lowed the law to become effective immedi- ately upon the Governor's signature. The plaintiffs in the pending lawsuit contend that AB 687 grants geographic monopolies to the tribes and, therefore, violates Article IV, Section 8 (d) of the California Constitution, which prohibits the Legislature from grant- ing any special privilege or franchise in an urgency statute. According to the State Treasurer's Office, "it is highly unlikely that the bonds could be sold unless this legal challenge is resolved in the State's favor." VTA continues to draw down $45 million in previously allocated TCRP funding for on- going environmental analysis. Valley Transportation Authority Local Funding Sources 2000 Measure A Sales Tax The 2000 Measure A %2-cent sales tax will be collected for a duration of 30 years, be- ginning April 2006 and ending March 2036. VTA has entered into an agreement with the State Board of Equalization to administer the collection and distribution of the 2000 Measure A sales tax revenue. Figure 1-2 provides the annual sales tax pro- j ections. N 700 0 600 E 500 400 c 300 200 100 d 0 IL *2000 Measure A Sales Tax revenue ceases in March 2036. For FY 2007 and FY 2008, VTA assumes an annual growth rate of 4.9 percent. For FY 2009 and FY 2010, the growth rate is as- sumed at 5.0 percent. For FY 2011 through FY 2036, the growth rate is 4.75 percent per year. Assumptions are based on the 20-year historical performance of VTA's'/2-cent sales tax, which has grown at an annual rate of 4.78 percent per year, excluding the anomaly years of the high-tech boom and bust when VTA saw unprecedented in- creases, then decreases, in its sales tax reve- nue. As of December 2004, the 2000 Measure A sales tax is projected to generate $4.4 billion (in 2000 dollars) or $9.9 billion (in dollars escalated to year of receipt). Sales tax projections are based on taxable sales projections prepared by the Chief Economist with The Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy (CCSCE). In July 2004, CCSCE completed an update of Santa Clara County taxable sales projec- tions for FY 2004 through FY 2010. The key projection determinants used by CCSCE are: • Total jobs • Total income • Total population • Percent of income spent on taxable items • Volume of business-to-business sales per job. The analysis uses an historical database from 1990 through 2003. The projections of jobs, population and income are developed by CCSCE using low-, middle-, and high- growth assumptions. The wage, income and taxable sales projec- tions depend on ratios and trends for the en- tire 13-year historical database. The analysis was very sensitive to the problem of dealing with the recent economic cycle between 1998 and 2000. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program 9 O O N LO M N N N C) M m O O O O O O O O O O O N N N N N N N N N N N Fiscal Year Applying low-, middle-, and high-growth assumptions to the projections of jobs, popu- lation and income, CCSCE develops a set of low (conservative), middle (moderate), and high (optimistic) projections for taxable sales. Given the uncertainty of the economy in the next few years, VTA chose to take a more conservative approach by using the midpoint between CCSCE's moderate and conservative projections of taxable sales. 2000 Measure A Bonds On August 7, 2003, the VTA Board author- ized the issue of up to $550 million of 2000 Measure A Sales Tax Revenue Bonds to fund: 1) accelerated reimbursement of the Repayment Obligation'; 2) retirement of the 2002 Grant and Bond Anticipation Notes; 3) operating costs associated with deferral of service reductions; 4) preliminary engineer- ing for the Silicon Valley Rapid Transit (SVRTC) project; 5) capitalized interest, cost of issue, potential debt service reserve fund; and 6) other projects as determined by the Board, including preliminary engineer- ing for Downtown East Valley (DTEV) transit improvements. Figure 1-3 summa- rizes the use of 2000 Measure A bonds. As of December 9, 2004 three series of bonds (2003 Series A and 2004 Series A and B Bonds) have been issued under this VTA Board authorization. Each series of bonds is structured as a long-term issue maturing April 1, 2036 (when the 2000 Measure A 1 Reimbursement to VTA for the debt service payments VTA has made/will make on the 2001 Series A bonds until FY 2006, when collection of the 2000 Measure A sales tax begins. 2001 Series A bonds in the amount of $200 million were issued for the 1996 Measure B Tasman, Capitol, and Vasona light rail extension pro- jects in exchange for 1996 Measure B sales tax revenue, which was used to advance the purchase of light rail vehicles included in 2000 Measure A. sales tax ends), but with a mandatory tender on October 2, 2006. Projects Bond Proceeds millions) SVRTC Preliminary Engineering $132.2 DTEV Conceptual Engineering 4.0 DTEV Preliminary Engineering 16.0 Repayment Obligation 67.3 UP Right-of-way Purchase Fremont to San Jose 81.5 Newhall Yard 37.3 Additional Round Trips for Caltrain South County Service 10.0 Dumbarton Rail 0.7 Rail Corridor Study 0.8 Capitalized Interest/Cost of Issue 42.2 Total Allocated Bond Proceeds $392.0 The rate of interest through the mandatory tender date is fixed. The intent is that the bonds will either be remarketed or refunded on the tender date (or a combination of both). This structure was designed to pro- vide VTA with the interest benefits associ- ated with a short-term financing but with a framework similar to that of a long-term fi- nancing with the needed flexibility to retire a portion of the debt should other funds be- come available. To complete the SVRTC and DTEV projects within their optimum project delivery schedules, there will be a need to issue bonds in addition to those previously author- ized by the VTA Board. The Investment 10 Valley Transportation Authority Plan currently assumes additional 2000 Measure A bonds (net proceeds) of $2.2 bil- lion, which is the maximum that can be is- sued through FY 2015 within a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.3x (set pursuant to the terms of the 2000 Measure A Inden- ture between VTA and BNY Western Trust Company as Trustee). A 1.3x DSCR ratio means that for every $1 in sales tax revenue received, as much as $0.70 may be used to pay debt service on outstanding bonds. To meet the projected cash flow require- ments of the SVRTC and DTEV projects, it is necessary to issue the maximum allowable amount of bonds during years of construc- tion. The Investment Plan does not contem- plate further issuance of bonds after completion of the SVRTC and DTEV projects. As the 2000 Measure A Program progresses, VTA staff will re-evaluate the need for debt financing based on cash flow requirements and will adjust the anticipated amount as appropriate. The goal is to minimize the use of bonds as much as possible. VTA Bonds The use of 2000 Measure A bonds with ac- ceptable coverage ratios will help to mini- mize, but not close the funding gap within the 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Program during the years when the SVRTC and DTEV projects are being completed, therefore another funding source is still needed. Under the assumption that VTA is successful in obtaining voter approval for a new permanent 1/2-cent sales tax in Novem- ber 20062, the Investment Plan currently re- flects the assumption that VTA would issue 'Assumes anew, permanent''/2-cent sales tax beginning April 2007. 75 percent to VTA, 25 percent to cities and county for local $1.7 billion net bond proceeds for the SVRTC and DTEV projects. The debt-service coverage ratio (DSCR) assumptions differ between debt secured by and payable from the 2000 Measure A sales tax and debt secured by and payable from VTA's 1976 half-cent sales tax primarily due to the intended use of the sales tax reve- nue. While a coverage ratio of 1.3x is acceptable to rating agencies for revenue streams that are dedicated to specific pro- jects (such as the 2000 Measure A sales tax), VTA's 1976 1/2-cent sales tax has a higher debt-service coverage requirement because the revenue source is dedicated for opera- tions. The indenture between VTA and U.S. Bank National Association (trustee), which gov- erns the issuance of additional bonds that are secured by VTA's 1976 1/2-cent sales tax, allows VTA to issue additional bonds as long as sales tax revenue exceeds at least two times the maximum annual debt service on all outstanding senior lien bonds. How- ever, the same Indenture also requires the funding of a reserve account in the event sales tax revenue does not equal at least three times the maximum annual debt ser- vice of all outstanding senior lien bonds, which results in a reduction in the amount of net bond proceeds available for projects. To avoid having to fund a reserve and maxi- mize the amount of bond proceeds available for project expenditures, we used a 3.Ox DSCR as a baseline assumption for the issu- ance of additional bonds secured by and payable from the 1976 permanent 1/2-cent sales tax. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program I I VTA and Other Funds Under the assumption that VTA is success- ful in obtaining voter-approval for a new permanent sales tax, this funding source is estimated to provide $3.3 billion of VTA surplus funds for the completion of all 2000 Measure A projects. Funds from Other Partners Funds from Other Partners totals $1.6 billion and represents confirmed and potential funding sources that may be available for 2000 Measure A projects (excluding those other fund sources categorized separately). Interest Earnings Estimated interest earnings based on an an- nual earnings rate of 1.5 percent calculated on the average balance. Bond proceeds are not included in this calculation. Funds from VTA Local Match Locally matched funding includes revenues from the 1976 permanent Y2-cent sales tax, which funds VTA operations and a portion of capital projects. 12 Valley Transportation Authority Chapter 3: Transit Capital Revenue and Expenditure Plans This chapter contains the revenue and ex- penditure plans for both the 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Program and VTA's Ongoing Operations Capital Program. 2000 Measure A Expenditure Plan As outlined in Chapter 2: Capital Financial Resources for Future Transit Investments, VTA has developed a funding scenario to implement all projects in the 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Program. The fund- ing scenario includes a potential new per- manent %2-cent sales tax, with 75 percent to fund VTA's operating budget and 2000 Measure A Transit Improvement Program. With the funding scenario selected to sup- plement the 2000 Measure A sales tax, VTA developed a revenue and expenditure plan for delivering all the projects outlined in 2000 Measure A. A summary of the plan is shown in Figure 1-4; a detailed analysis of projected revenues and anticipated expendi- tures is shown in Appendix A. Appendix A also includes a revenue and ex- penditure timeline for each project in 2000 Measure A. For more information regarding each project included in 2000 Measure A, please refer to project fact sheets included in Appendix B. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program 13 Fund Source 2000 Measure A Sales Tax 2000 Measure A Bonds, net proceeds VTA Bonds, net proceeds Federal New Starts State Traffic Congestion Relief Program Proposition 42 STIP VTA, Other Funds (includes new 3/8-cent sales tax) Funds from Other Partners Interest Earnings Total Revenue Expenditures Operating Assistance Debt Service, 2000 Measure A Bonds Silicon Valley Rapid Transit Corridor Project Downtown East Valley Transit Improvements Project Bus Rapid Transit Corridors Caltrain Electrification (Palo Alto to Gilroy) Caltrain Service Upgrades Caltrain South County Service Upgrade New Rail Corridors Study Mineta San Jose International Airport People Mover Highway 17 Express Bus Service Improvements Dumbarton Rail Palo Alto Intermodal Center ACE Upgrade New Rail Corridors Phase I New Rail Corridors Phase II Zero Emission Buses (Buses & Facilities) ZEB Demonstration Program Total Expenditures 30-Year Revenue Projections in millions, escalated to year of receipt) 9,882.2 2,717.2 1,670.9 973.0 648.6 147.3 3,337.9 1,610.9 0.5 $20,988.4 Estimated Project Funding in millions, escalated to year of expenditure) 1,824.0 5,275.7 5,319.2 655.8 62.6 903.2 195.5 191.7 1.3 541.3 2.3 299.7 550.9 38.3 407.1 2,531.3 136.4 18.5 $18,954.8 Revenues Less Expenditures (Contingency") $2,033.6 *Assumes a new, permanent '/2-cent sales tax beginning April 2007: 75 percent to VTA, 25 percent to cities and county for local transportation projects. "Approximately 10 percent contingency. 14 Valley Transportation Authority Funding for VTA's Ongoing Capital Program to Support Operations Figure 1-5 is a summary of anticipated reve- nues and expenditures to support ongoing capital investments for bus, light rail and paratransit operations. As stated in Chapter 1, the program's pro- jected revenues and expenditures will be up- dated annually through VTA's internal Capital Improvement Program Oversight Committee as part of the annual budget up- date and will feed into the biennial update of VTA's Short Range Transit Plan. in millions, escalated to year of Federal Section 5307 & 5309 VTA Local Match Total Revenue receipt) 1,633.6 637.1 $2,270.7 Expenditures Revenue Vehicles & Equipment Operating Facilities & Equipment Light Rail Way, Power & Signal Passenger Facilities Information Systems & Technology Miscellaneous Administrative Project Total Expenditures Estimated Program Funding in millions, escalated to year of expenditure) 1,044.8 158.9 81.7 50.5 108.9 4.2 $1,449.0 Revenues Less Expenditures (Contingency) $821.7 Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program 15 Fund Source Revenue Projections This page was intentionally left blank. Valley Transportation Authority Valley Transportation Authority S A N T A C L A R A Appendix A 2000 Measure A Capital Investment Program Projected Revenues and Anticipated Expenditures 2000 Measure A Capital Investment Program Timeline Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program This page was intentionally left blank. Valley Transportation Authority Valley Transportation Authority S A N T A C L A R A Q N DE~pL! 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N lrmU -:I -a N m m CD N (D LO W I~ 00 (0 V N LO T n W - O O O O O co O O O O O O O O O O O O w ( } N N N N N N N N N N Cl N N N N N N N Appendix B 2000 Measure A Program Project Fact Sheets Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program This page was intentionally left blank. Valley Transportation Authority Valley Transportation Authority S A N T A C L A R A Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $1.8 billion Total $1.8 billion VTA Board of Directors' Actions: No action necessary. Project Description: VTA has allocated 18.5 percent of 2000 Measure A sales tax revenues to public transit operations. Project Schedule: Funding for VTA operating assistance will begin in FY 2006 and continue until the 2000 Measure A sales tax sun- sets in FY 2036. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program B- I Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Federal (New Starts) $973 million State (TCRP & Other) $796 million Local (2000 Measure A) $3.55 billion Total $5.3 billion VTA Board of Directors' Actions: ✓ Authorized $170 million in 2000 Measure A bond pro- ceeds to begin preliminary engineering. (August 2003) ✓ Adopted the project description for the 16.3-mile exten- sion of BART to Milpitas, San Jose and Santa Clara and approved the Final Environmental Impact Report. (December 2004) Extension of the San Francisco Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) system that includes: • 16.3-mile rapid transit extension south from a future Warm Springs station in Fremont through Milpitas and San Jose to the Santa Clara Caltrain Station. • Seven stations, and one possible future station (located in Milpitas). • Intennodal connections at Montague/Capitol, Alum Rock, Diridon and Santa Clara stations. • Connection at Santa Clara station to Mineta San Jose International Airport People Mover system. Project Development and Status: In March 2001, VTA initiated a Major Investment Study to evaluate transportation alternatives for the Silicon Val- ley Rapid Transit Corridor (SVRTC). Through extensive analysis and public outreach, the BART extension to Milpitas, San Jose and Santa Clara was selected as the Preferred Investment Strategy and approved by the VTA Board of Directors in November 2001. The Federal Transit Administration approved entry into preliminary engi- neering in September 2002. VTA initiated environmental clearance of the project in February 2002. Working closely with numerous agencies, stakeholders, interest groups, and the public, this process defined key issues for the environmental document, ana- lyzed potential project alternatives, and proposed possible mitigation measures to reduce impacts. The VTA Board of Directors certified the state-level Environmental Impact Report (EIR) on December 9, 2004. The federal-level Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) is scheduled to be approved in December 2006. The Bay Area Rapid Transit District (BART) is concurrently working on implementing the BART Warm Springs Extension to south Fremont. BART updated the Warm Springs EIR in 2003. The BART Board of Directors certi- fied the Final Supplemental EIR in June 2003. In 2004, BART initiated preparation of a federal EIS for the project, so the project may become eligible for federal funding. The Draft EIS is scheduled for release in early 2005. Project Schedule: Environmental/Preliminary Engineering Final Design Construction Revenue Service 2005 2006 2007 2008 2010 2015 B-2 Valley Transportation Authority Project Description: Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $655 million Total $655 million Capitol Expressway LRT to Nieman Boulevard: $430 million Santa Clara/Alum Rock Corridor: $85 million (for enhanced bus) to $298 million (for single-car LRT). VTA Hoard of Directors' Actions: ✓ Authorized $16 million to begin preliminary engi- neering studies for the Capitol Expressway LRT pro- ject to Nieman Boulevard. (August 2003) Project Description: Capitol Expresswav Light Rail Proiect: 8.0 miles of LRT along Capitol Expressway from the existing Capitol LRT to the Guadalupe LRT. Santa Clara/Alum Rock Corridor Proiect 4.3 miles of single-car LRT or enhanced bus service from Downtown San Jose to the existing Capitol LRT. Project Development and Status: Capitol Expressway Light Rail Proiect As a result of public and interagency comments on the Draft Environmental Impact Statement/Environmental Im- pact Report (EIS/EIR), the project segment from Neiman Boulevard to State Route 87 is being deferred. Therefore, the final EIS/EIR will include only the segment of the project from the Alum Rock State to Nieman Boulevard. Ap- proval of the Final EIS/EIR is expected in Spring 2005. Preliminary engineering began in October 2004 is expected to be completed in December 2005. Santa Clara/Alum Rock Corridor Proiect Conceptual engineering and environmental analysis are underway and are expected to be completed in 2005. The preferred alternative for the corridor is not yet determined. A Draft EIS/EIR will be circulated without a defined preferred alternative. The VTA Board will decide between two proposed transit modes (single-car LRT or enhanced bus) along the Santa Clara/Alum Rock Corridor. The Santa Clara/Alum Rock and the Silicon Valley Rapid Transit Corridor Projects must be coordinated to achieve projects that complement each other in terms of design, construction, and operation. If the single-car LRT alterna- tive is selected as the preferred alternative by the VTA Board, it has been determined that construction of BART stations must be completed prior to or in conjunction with construction of the trackway in the Santa Clara/Alum Rock corridor. Project Schedule: Environmental/Preliminary Engineering Final Design Construction O Revenue Service 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program B-3 Project Description: Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $62.6 million Total $62.6 million VTA Board of Directors' Actions: No action necessary. Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) provides high quality, frequent bus service. • Articulated buses, transit priority treatments (e.g.: signal priority), Intelligent Transportation System improve- ments, and passenger facilities upgrades. • Study and implement BRT corridors on important travel corridors. BRT projects can be implemented in phases as funding becomes available; project benefits are realized at each phase. Project Development and Status: El Camino Real/The Alameda/Santa Clara Street/Alum Rock Avenue (VTA Bus Line 22), Stevens Creek Boulevard (VTA Bus Line 23) and Monterey Highway (in conjunction with the Downtown East Valley Transit Improvement Project) are corridors currently identified. VTA is developing Line 522 service, a precursor to BRT service along the current VTA Bus Line 22. Phase one improvements include bus signal priority, limited stops, frequent service, headway-based schedules, queue jump lanes, and near level-boarding. Service is anticipated to begin in July 2005. The Monterey Highway BRT Corridor is 9.6 miles along Monterey Highway from Downtown San Jose to the Gua- dalupe LRT. To achieve both cost efficiency and consistency among VTA services, the Monterey Highway BRT project is envisioned to incorporate design and operational features currently under development for VTA's Line 22 Corridor BRT project. Design efforts are underway for the Line 22 Corridor. Low floor, articulated buses have been acquired for Bus Line 22 and will be placed in service this summer. The initial Bus Line 22 phase (Palo Alto and Mountain View), with signal priority and queue jump lanes, began in 2003. Specific project improvements must be further defined, cost estimates developed and priorities established. Support from cities and Caltrans is necessary to ensure effective priority treatment for transit. Project Schedule: A more specific project schedule will be created when project improvements are defined. Currently, funding for BRT upgrades is scheduled for FY 2007 through FY 2009 and FY 2011. B-4 Valley Transportation Authority Project Description: Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $176 million Other Funding* $19 million Total $195 million * Other funding includes federal grants and matching funds from Caltrain partners. VTA Board of Directors' Actions: No action necessary. Provides VTA's share of costs to increase Caltrain Service in Santa Clara County from Gilroy to Palo Alto. Improvements may include: • Purchasing new train sets (locomotives and cars) for increased Caltrain service in Santa Clara County from Gilroy to Palo Alto. • Constructing additional facilities, such as station and access facilities, to support increased service. • Constructing a parking expansion at Mountain View Station and improvements at Diridon Station. Project Development and Status: VTA will commence a study in mid-2005 to refine the Caltrain elements of the 2000 Measure A Revenue and Ex- penditure Plan. VTA will work with Caltrain staff and the cities along the Caltrain route to develop this plan. Funding commitments will need to be secured from the San Mateo County Transit District (SamTrans) and the City and County of San Francisco to cover their share of system-wide capital project costs where appropriate. Project Schedule: A more specific project schedule will be created when project improvements are defined. Funding for Caltrain Service Upgrades is scheduled for FY 2005, FY 2008, FY 2010, and FY 2025 through FY 2036. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program B-5 Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $118 million Other Local Sources $74 million Total $192 million VTA Board of Directors' Actions: ✓ Negotiated agreement with Union Pacific Railroad (UPRR) granting up to five additional commuter roundtrips on completion of the capacity improve- ments in five years. (December 2004) Project Description: Current Gilroy Caltrain service consists of four daily roundtrip trains servicing the peals period only. This service operates over a section of track owned by the Union Pacific Railroad (UPRR) and is currently constrained by the trackage rights agreement with UPRR. Various projects are proposed to improve and increase Caltrain service, including: • Constructing capacity improvements including 8.5 miles of double track between San Jose and Gilroy on Union Pacific Railroad (UPRR) property. An Agreement was executed with UPRR granting up to 5 additional com- muter roundtrips on completion of the capacity improvements. • Constructing a Gilroy yard facility to accommodate storage of 10 commuter rail train sets. Project Development and Status: VTA is working with UPRR to define scope, schedule, roles and responsibilities for the proposed $35 million in capacity improvements. The capital improvements to support this new service have been negotiated with UPRR through a revised Caltrain trackage agreement. VTA is also working with a design consultant to commence design improvements at five public grade crossings. Project Schedule: 2005 2006 ®Final Design Construction 2007 2008 2009 2010 B-6 Valley Transportation Authority Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $335 million Other Local Sources $563 million Total $903 million VTA Board of Directors' Actions: No action necessary. Project Description: This project would provide for VTA's portion of the funding to electrify the existing Caltrain system from San Fran- cisco to Gilroy and includes all operating control systems, substations, track, signals, grade crossings, terminal or station modifications and new electric locomotives. Project Development and Status: Funding for VTA's share of the costs for preliminary engineering has been allocated by the Metropolitan Transpor- tation Commission (MTC) from Revenue Aligned Budget Authority (RABA) funds previously earmarked for South County Caltrain improvements. Caltrain's current Short-Range Transit Plan shows electrification construction and acquisition of electric locomo- tives, at a cost of $602 million, in Fiscal Years 2014 to 2018. A funding plan has not yet been developed or ap- proved by the Caltrain member agencies. Funding commitments will need to be secured from the San Mateo County Transit District (SamTrans) and the City and County of San Francisco and the MTC to cover their share of the project costs. Caltrain has prepared and circulated a draft environmental assessment for electrifying Caltrain from Gilroy to San Francisco. Caltrain is in the process of responding to comments received and preparing a final Environmental Im- pact Report, which is expected to be completed mid 2005. Project Schedule: A more specific project schedule will be created when project improvements are defined. Funding for Caltrain Elec- trification is scheduled for FY 2014 through FY 2018. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program B-7 Project Description: Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $1.3 million Total $1.3 million VTA Board of Directors' Actions: No action necessary. VTA will commence the New Rail Corridors Study with the following candidate corridors: • Sunnyvale/Cupertino; • East Valley Extension to Guadalupe LRT; • Santa Teresa/Coyote Valley and potential extension south to Morgan Hill; • Stevens Creek Boulevard; • West San Jose/Santa Clara; • North County/Palo Alto; • Vasona LRT to Vasona Junction. Project Development and Status: Three potential candidate corridors have undergone varying levels of study: • Vasona LRT to Vasona Junction project has proceeded through conceptual engineering and environmental approval. • Downtown East Valley Extension on Capitol Expressway is currently in the preliminary engineering and envi- ronmental review phases. See the project page for the Downtown East Valley Transit Improvement Plan for more information about the Capitol Expressway Light Rail Project. • Sunnyvale/Cupertino corridor has undergone an alignment study to Sunnyvale. The Sunnyvale/Cupertino, Santa Teresa/Coyote Valley, Stevens Creek Boulevard, West San Jose/Santa Clara, and North County/Palo Alto corridors have had no study to date. Therefore, adequate information does not currently exist that would allow direct comparison of candidate corridors. Each candidate corridor would need to be developed to a conceptual level, after which a broad brush, order-of- magnitude evaluation could be completed to establish corridor priorities qualified for detailed study. At its June 8, 2001 workshop, the VTA Board of Directors adopted a set of prioritization criteria to aid in the selection process. After priorities have been established, individual projects could then be further developed through completion of a Major Investment Study, Conceptual Engineering, Environmental, Preliminary Engineering, Final Design, Right-of- Way Acquisition and Construction, which typically takes a period of approximately 7 to 10 years. No funding has been identified to initiate the MIS work for these projects prior to 2000 Measure A funding becoming available. Project Schedule: The New Rail Corridors Study will begin in mid-2005 with anticipated completion in 2006. B-8 Valley Transportation Authority Estimated Project Funding Project Description: (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $407 million (Phase 1) Local (2000 Measure A) $2.53 billion (Phase 2) Total $2.94 billion VTA Board of Directors' Actions: No action necessary. Provides funding for design and construction of at least two future rail corridors. Candidate corridors are as follows: • Sunnyvale/Cupertino; • East Valley Extension to Guadalupe LRT; • , Santa Teresa/Coyote Valley and potential extension south to Morgan Hill; • Stevens Creek Boulevard; • West San Jose/Santa Clara; • North County/Palo Alto; • Vasona LRT to Vasona Junction. Project Development and Status: Following the completion of the New Rail Corridor Study in 2006, at least two of the seven corridors will be se- lected for further development and construction. Project Schedule: Project schedules for selected rail corridors will be developed following initial scoping and analysis. New Rail Corridor Study Rail Corridor Phase I Development Rail Corridor Phase 2 Development - " ®Phase I Revenue Service ® Phase 211evenue Service 2005 2006 2023 2024 2028 2036 Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program B-9 Project Description: Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $300 million Other Local Sources $241 million Total $541 million VTA Board of Directors' Actions: No action necessary. Provides a link to Norman Y. Mineta San Jose International Airport from VTA's Guadalupe Light Rail Transit (LRT) Line on North First Street in San Jose, and from Caltrain and future BART in Santa Clara, using Automated People Mover (APM) technology. • Connection to the LRT will likely be at the Metro Station. • Connection to Caltrain and future BART is anticipated along the Airport's northern perimeter road as an exten- sion of the on-Airport APM, either between the centralized terminal and long term parking garage or in a tunnel under the existing Airport runways. • It is anticipated that the Airport will operate and maintain the APM system Project Development and Status: The City of San Jose designated the Metro Station corridor as the preferred corridor for an APM connection between a centralized airport terminal and the Guadalupe Light Rail Line. The City is currently proceeding with detailed alignment studies, conceptual design and environmental review for the APM connection to Light Rail. Connection with Light Rail likely requires relocation of the northbound Metro Light Rail Station platform. The connection between San Jose International Airport and CaltrainBART in Santa Clara would likely be devel- oped in conjunction with the Silicon Valley Rapid Transit Corridor Project. Project Schedule: A specific project schedule will be developed as project elements are further defined. Funding for design and con- struction of the Airport People Mover project is scheduled for FY 2010 through FY 2014. B-10 Valley Transportation Authority Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $2.6 million Total $2.6 million VTA Board of Directors' Actions: No action necessary. Project Description: Increase bus service between Santa Clara County and Santa Cruz County over Highway 17. Provides VTAs share of funds for the partnership with Santa Cruz County Transit District for additional buses and service upgrades for the Highway 17 Express Bus Service. Project Development and Status: A plan for additional buses and service upgrades must be developed. Funding commitment needs to be secured from the Santa Cruz Metropolitan Transit District. Service will be implemented when ridership justifies increased service and operating funds are available. Project Schedule: A specific project schedule will be developed as project elements are further defined. Funding for improvements to Highway 17 Express Bus Service is scheduled for FY 2011 through FY 2012. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program B-I I WIRM Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $44 million Other Local Sources* $255 million Total $299 million * Funding is based on Dumbarton Rail Capital Program. VTA Board of Directors' Actions: ✓ Approved $1 million to contribute toward envi- ronmental studies for the Dumbarton Rail Corridor in a cost-sharing agreement with Alameda and San Mateo Counties. (August 2004) Project represents VTA's share of matching funds for a partnership with Alameda and San Mateo counties for the rebuilding of the Dumbarton Rail Corridor. The Dumbarton Rail Corridor Project will extend commuter rail service across the San Francisco Bay between the Peninsula and the East Bay by rehabilitating and reconstructing rail facili- ties on the existing railroad alignment and right-of-way. Service will consist of six trains originating in the East Bay and traveling west in the morning peak and six trains returning in the evening peak. Project Development and Status: The lead project sponsor and implementing agency is the San Mateo County Transportation Authority, who is pre- paring the required environmental studies. The other funding partners are VTA, the Alameda County Congestion Management Agency, the Alameda County Transportation Improvement Authority, and the Capitol Corridor Joint Powers Authority. The project is in the preliminary planning stages to form strategies for the environmental, design, right-of-way ac- quisition and construction stages of the project. The initial planning, engineering, and environmental studies are documented in a recently completed Project Study Report. As part of the Project Study Report, a preliminary environmental analysis was prepared to identify environmentally sensitive resource areas, and issues at an early conceptual stage of the Dumbarton Rail Project. The report also in- cluded conceptual design for track, structures, grade separations and signals for the proposed project up to a 10 per- cent engineering level of design. The next step in the study process will be to conduct the appropriate environmental studies and documentation, including preliminary engineering of the design elements. Project Schedule: Environmental/Preliminary Engineering Right-of-Way Acquisition/Final Design - Construction ® East Bay Segment Service ®Dumbarton Bridge Service 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 B-12 Valley Transportation Authority Project Description: Project Description: Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $48 million Other Local Sources $202 million Total $250 million VTA Board of Directors' Actions: No action necessary. Project is to develop an expanded Palo Alto Caltrain Station and Bus Transit Center, along with an upgraded Uni- versity Avenue between downtown Palo Alto and Stanford University. This is part of an overall master plan effort by the city to improve transit, vehicular, pedestrian and bicycle traffic in this area and provide better connectivity between downtown Palo Alto and Stanford University. Project elements under consideration include: • Expansion of the Transit Center, to include additional bus bays, provisions for shuttles and other improvements • Reconstruction of the Caltrain bridge over University Avenue to include four tracks to allow express train service • Redesign of University Avenue including roadway improvements and creation of an urban park. Project Development and Status: Caltrain and VTA will work with Palo Alto and Stanford to finalize specific project elements and identify additional funds needed to complete. If fully funded, implementation could take up to 10 years and would probably be com- pleted in several phases. Some elements of this project are not transportation-related and will require identification of other, non-transportation funding. VTA has agreed to pay a proportionate funding share (for example, 20 per- cent) as other funds are realized. In January 2004, Congress awarded $750,000 under the Department of Transportation's budget for necessary engi- neering design prior to construction of the Palo Alto Intermodal Transit Center. This is the second year Congress earmarked funds for this project. The first earmark will fund environmental analysis preliminary to engineering design. Project Schedule: A specific project schedule will be developed as project elements are further defined. Funding for improvements to the Palo Alto Intermodal Transit Center is scheduled for FY 2030 through FY 2035. Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program B-13 Project Description: Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Funding Source Amount Local (2000 Measure A) $38 million Total $38 million V TA Board of Directors' Actions: No action necessary. Provide funds for VTA's share of additional train sets, passenger facilities and service upgrades for the ACE Com- muter Service from San Joaquin and Alameda Counties. Project Development and Status: VTA is working with San Joaquin Regional Rail Commission staff to identify short- and long-term capital projects for ACE service. Project Schedule: A specific project schedule will be developed as project elements are further defined. Funding for ACE Service Upgrades is scheduled for FY 2016 through FY 2024. B-14 Valley Transportation Authority 167 Estimated Project Funding (in Year of Expenditure Dollars): Fundina Source Amount Federal (FTA) $5 million State $0.3 million Local (2000 Measure A) $142 million* Other Local Sources $7 million** Total $154 million *$136 million for ZEB vehicle purchase and construction of the hydrogen fueling facility; $6 million for ZEB Demonstration Program. Other local funding includes $6 million from the San Mateo County Transit District and $1 million from the Bay Area Air Quality Management District. VTA Board of Directors' Actions: ✓ Adopted low-emission diesel path and to demonstrate ZEBs to comply with CARB regulations. (December 2000) Project Description: Replace 15 percent of the existing VTA active diesel bus fleet with new zero emission buses (as required for com- pliance with CARB regulations). This project also provides funds for maintenance facilities for the expanded fleet and CARB compliance. All new buses will be low floor for easier boarding by seniors and the disabled. Project Development and Status: VTA acquired three ZEBs in mid 2004. Revenue service for the ZEB demonstration program is expected to begin in February 2005. The hydrogen fueling facility at Cerone Operating Division is complete and the fueling facility is in use. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory will be leading the ZEB Demonstration Program evaluation. The evaluation will include analysis of vehicle operation, facility operating and capital costs, the implementation experi- ence, and community acceptance. The evaluation will continue for 12 to 18 months after the start of revenue ser- vice. An interim ZEB Demonstration Program report will be submitted to the California Air Resources Board on July 31, 2005 and a fmal report will be submitted on July 31, 2007.2000 Measure A funding for the demonstration program would supplement federal funds, which will continue to be available for bus replacement needs, but are not adequate for fleet expansion and full compliance with California Air Resources Board (GARB) regulations. Project Schedule ZEB Demonstration Program Fleet Procurement - Fleet Replacement 2005 2007 2010 2015 2020 2026 2030 2036 Long-Term Transit Capital Investment Program B-15 This page was intentionally left blank. B-16 Valley Transportation Authority S A N T A C L A R A Valley Transportation Authority