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Attachment 4 - Revenue and Expense Assumptions
FORECAST ASSUMPTIONS REVENUE BASELINE AND PROJECTION FACTORS Type of Base Line FY 2021/22 FY 2022/23 FY 2023/24 FY 2024/25 FY 2025/26 Revenue Estimate Budget Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Current Property baseline set bySCC Tax/VLF Assessor 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Backfill Office January 2020 npo,_rt. North 40 Starting in FY North 40 Property 3% 3% 3% 3% Sales 2021/22 Phase 1 Sales Current SCCA baseline set recommend ERAF bySCC 50% of FY $400K $400K $400K $400K Assessor 2020/21 Office March anticipated 2021 report proceeds MuniServices MuniServices MuniServices MuniServices MuniServices Sales Tax MuniServices 3/19/2021 3/19/2021 3/19/2021 3/19/2021 3/19/2021 3/19/2021 Optimistic Most Likely Most Likely Most Likely Most Likely Estimates Estimates Estimates Estimates Estimates MuniServices MuniServices MuniServices MuniServices MuniServices Sales Tax-MuniServices 3/19/2021 3/19/2021 3/19/2021 3/19/2021 3/19/2021 Measure G 3/19/2021 Most Likely Most Likely Most Likely Most Likely Most Likely Estimates Estimates Estimates Estimates Estimates Current baseline set Franchise Fee by FY 2020/21 3% 3% 3% 3% Year End Estimates Current Transient baseline set Occupancy by FY 2020/21 20% 10% 10% 5% 5% Tax Year End Estimates A-21 ATTACHMENT 4