Loading...
Attachment 23-24ifirf l..,, ,,,,,„ILf.nft(,, Economic k Planning SYS£en7 s, /nc. 501 Nlnrn Street, 5u,te 200 Berkeley, CA 94710-2257 510 841 919O le! 510 8-11 92O8 fax Berkeley Denver Los Angeles Sacramento www.epsys.com MEMORANDUM To: John Shenk From: Teifion Rice -Evans and Ashleigh Kanat Subject: Albright Project Feasibility Considerations; EPS #121103 Date: May 31, 2013 Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. (EPS) recently prepared a planning - level development feasibility analysis to evaluate the economics of the 350,000-square foot Reduced Area Alternative in Los Gatos relative to the 550,000-square foot Proposed Project. Development of the Reduced Area Alternative would entail demolishing the ten existing buildings, making site improvements and constructing four new buildings and one new 80-space parking garage. Following the last Town Council meeting, you have requested we address two topics in more detail in advance of the June 3rd Council hearing. The first topic concerns the economics of redevelopment and the relevance of the leaseability of the current buildings and the potential feasibility of the Reduced Area Alternative; the second topic is the reasonableness of the application of a 7 percent return on cost hurdle rate. These topics are addressed below: 1) Retenanting of the existing buildings may be possible, but this is not related to and does not affect the development feasibility of either the Proposed Project or the Reduced Area Alternative. The redevelopment of existing buildings generates greater financial barriers to development than an undeveloped site, particularly if the existing buildings are occupied. The stream of lease revenues from the existing development means that new development must be able to offer a sufficient payment to existing landowner(s) to cover the loss of the current income stream as well as the demolition costs and the costs of new development. As a result, it is common for redevelopment projects to require a significantly greater amount of development than currently present on site in order to be feasible. It is expected that there are tenants who would be interested in the existing buildings, new buildings under the Reduced Area Alternative, and new buildings under the Proposed Project. However, the expected interest from tenants in new buildings under the Reduced Area Alternative does not mean necessarily that redevelopment is financially feasible. The test of financial feasibility requires a more in-depth analysis that compares the expected lease rates with the costs of property acquisition, demolition, and new development, as provided in the prior EPS product. That the existing buildings can be renovated and fully leased is an important indicator of market f- T AcH ➢ " 2 3 Memorandum Albright Project Feasibility May 31, 2013 Page 2 demand, but does not alone determine the feasibility of a potential redevelopment project. Our analysis indicates that the potential revenues generated by the Reduced Area Alternative are insufficient to justify the costs of redevelopment, assuming a return on cost hurdle rate of 7 percent. 2) Evaluation of potential feasibility and estimates of financial performance rely on professional judgments concerning reasonable hurdle rates of return below which the likelihood of attracting interested developers and project financing is significantly reduced. Pro forma analysis allows developers to determine expected rates of return under expected costs and revenues. This type of analysis allows for a determination by the developer as to whether the expected return on investment is consistent with the expected project risks, pre - development costs, actual development costs, including financing costs, and the time and effort the developer expects to invest in bringing the project to fruition. In EPS's experience evaluating commercial office/R&D projects in suburban markets in the San Francisco Bay Area, a return on costs of 7 to 9 percent (or above) indicates a viable project. For the purpose of our analysis, we applied a 7 percent hurdle rate of return, which is at the low end of the typical range, to provide a planning -level indication of developer incentive and potential financial feasibility. Developers do vary, however, in terms of their required return on costs depending on their own tolerance for risk, sources of capital, and investor expectations. It should be noted that even if a developer considers an expected return on costs to be sufficiently attractive, this does not necessarily mean that the project will meet the requirements of potential investors. P:\121000\121103AIbrlgh[ los Gatos \Corres\121103mm 053113_revlsed.docx John R. Shenk jshenk@me.com me.com 1408-242-9052 May 30, 2013 VIA E-MAIL Mayor and Town Council Members Town of Los Gatos 110 East Main Street Los Gatos, CA 95030 Re: Albright Way Entitlement —Planned Development Overlay Zone Justification Letter Dear Mayor and Council Members: On May 15, 2013, I submitted an additional justification letter that explained how the Albright Way project (the "Project") is consistent with the General Plan in general and the Planned Development (PD) Overlay Zoning provision in particular. Because that letter was 14 pages and I realize that you have limited time to read and digest information related to the Project, I write again to highlight why the Project is consistent with the PD Overlay provision in the General Plan and Zoning Code. Zoning Code section 29.80.080 states: "The purpose of the PD or planned development overlay zone is to provide for alternative uses and developments more consistent with site characteristics than are allowed in other zones, and so create an optimum quantity and use of open space and encourage good design." The Project epitomizes the intent of the PD Overlay provision. The PD Overlay proposed as part of the Project sets development standards that differ from those in the General Plan, which is one of the purposes of a PD Overlay Zone according to the General Plan. (See General Plan at p. LU-16-17 [A "Planned Development Overlay [Zone] is a specially tailored development plan and ordinance which designates the zoning regulations for the accompanying project, sets specific development standards, and ensures that zoning and the General Plan are consistent." (Emphasis added)].) Where the General Plan would allow buildings up to 35 feet (two stories) and site coverage of 50%, the PD Overlay zone would allow buildings up to 65 feet (four stories), which allows an Architecture and Site proposal with site coverage of just under 23%. The PD Overlay Zone allows the buildings to be taller than otherwise permitted, which in turn reduces building coverage from what is otherwise allowed. The site has historically been used for office/research and development uses and the General Plan designated the site for continued light industrial use. The site is unique because it mediates the transition between a busy, noisy freeway on one side and a townhome development on the other. The site also sits between the car -oriented, well -traveled Winchester Boulevard and the pedestrian -oriented Los Gatos Creek Trail. Finally, this site is in the Vasona Light Rail Area, which ATTACHRENT 2. 4 Mayor and Town Council May 30, 2013 Page 2 is an area recognized by the General Plan as suitable for increased development. These singular site characteristics require a distinctive planning solution. Further, as explained in the financial feasibility memorandum submitted on April 4 by Economic & Planning Systems, Inc, ("EPS") to make redevelopment of the site feasible, the site must accommodate approximately 550,000 square feet of Class A office/research and development space. A lesser amount of space or less quality of space would yield lower rents and make redevelopment infeasible. A representative from EPS will be present at the June 3, 2013, Town Council hearing to answer any questions that you may have regarding this assessment. The PD Overlay Zone creates a site plan that optimizes the quantity and use of open space for a 550,000 square feet Project. Without a PD Overlay Zone, the site plan would look like the Reduced Height Alternative illustrated in Figure 5-3 in the Draft EIR, which is attached as Exhibit A to this letter. That figure shows eight buildings that are 35 feet tall and each have 68,500 square feet of space. With eight 35 foot buildings and the required parking, the site would have no room left for the open space features offered by the Project, including the extensive tree retention and replacement and addition of generous landscaped courtyards. Instead, it would be a much less appealing plan of densely packed low-rise buildings and parking, with little useable open space. Conversely, with the PD Overlay Zone, the Project site plan would be as shown in the plan attached as Exhibit B to this letter. Unlike the Reduced Height Alternative, the Project includes copious amounts of sustainably landscaped outdoor space. This plan can accommodate larger setbacks from the freeway, residences, and the Creek Trail, which allows more trees to be retained and additional trees to be planted. In addition, unlike the Reduced Height Alternative, the Project leaves room for rows of trees between parking aisles to further screen the development from the Charter Oaks neighborhood and the Los Gatos Creek Trail. Finally, unlike the Reduced Height Alternative, the Project acknowledges the differences in the uses that surround each side of the site. For example, the shortest "building" (the three-story parking garage) is placed closest to the Charter Oaks neighborhood and the Creek Trail, while the taller buildings are closer to the busier roads. In addition, the widest part of the large central landscaped area is adjacent to the residences in Charter Oaks. None of the Project's thoughtfully designed landscape features would be possible without the PD Overlay Zone. Not only does the PD Overlay Zone allow development with more open space than what would be provided under the development standards in the General Plan and underlying zoning, but the PD Overlay also allows more open space than currently exists on the site. (See Draft EIR at p. 4.1-5.) The four proposed buildings plus parking garage would have less building coverage than the existing 10 buildings-5.0 acres (proposed) compared to 5.6 acres (existing). Stated differently, the Project increases the amount of open area on the site by 28.5%, increasing the open space from 6.3 to 8.1 acres. As discussed above, reduced building coverage will increase the open feel of the site and provide space to preserve trees and add new trees and landscaping. In addition to good site design, the PD Overlay Zone also promotes good architectural design. In fact, as the Town's consulting architect, Larry Cannon, stated that the proposed Project buildings are "excellent in their design." The buildings consist of high quality, Mayor and Town Council May 30, 2013 Page 3 sustainable materials, including clear glass and solid masonry. The facades will be highly articulated through the use of shifting volumes, layers of different materials, and vertical elements such as columns and mullions to give the buildings rhythm and visual interest. Strong horizontal sun shades decrease the heat load on the buildings and break up how one perceives the buildings. According to Mr. Cannon, the sunshades will give the buildings a "perceived" height closer to 55 feet than the actual 65 feet. The buildings also will be constructed to meet LEED silver criteria, which ensures that the Project will be operationally efficient and reflect the Town's commitment to sustainability The Project would not be possible without the PD Overlay Zone, which clearly serves its purpose to "create an optimum quantity and use of open space and encourage good design." Sincerely, John R, Shenk Owner's Representative & Applicant This Page Intentionally Left Blank EXHIBIT A 11 1 1 I I 1 1 I U 1 I 1 I I I I I I 1 1 I I I I I II I I I I I I I j (._ ....... MMTM11111-11111H1111111U1111111i1111! 1111111111111111 11111111111111111LL .1111111111111111 L'111111111 r-71111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111\ ft; cL) (3, Lo waif, co 0, .c ci) LL c ,- cn zg, LO to 63 1 ri EXHIBIT B c