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19 Staff Report - 2002/03 First Quarter Budget PerformanceCOUNCIL AGENDA REPORT DATE: October 16, 2002 TO: MAYOR AND TOWN COUNCIL FROM: DEBRA J. FIGONE, TOWN MANAGER SUBJECT: MEETING DATE: 10/21/02 ITEM NO. 9 2002/03 FIRST QUARTER BUDGET PERFORMANCE AND STATUS REPORT -THREE MONTHS ENDING SEPTEMBER 30, 2002. A. ACCEPT 2002/03 FIRST QUARTER BUDGET PERFORMANCE STATUS REPORT. B. AUTHORIZE BUDGET ADJUSTMENTS AS RECOMMENDED IN THE ATTACHED FIRST QUARTER BUDGET PERFORMANCE REPORT. RECOMMENDATION: 1. Accept 2002/03 mid -year budget performance and status report. 2. Authorize budget reserve utilization as recommended in the attached first quarter budget performance report. INTRODUCTION/DISCUSSION: This item will include a staff presentation on the status of the Town's financial condition as of the end of the first quarter of the fiscal year. Staff provides to Town Council periodic updates on the status of the current year's adopted budget revenues and expenditures and the projected financial condition of Town funds, concentrating most importantly on the Town's General Fund. Though the financial results are limited to the first three months, staff is able to see revenue trends developing and advise Town Council as to possible future courses of action that may be necessitated by the need to balance operating revenues with operating expenditures during the fiscal year. The attached report includes a financial overview which begins with a brief discussion of last years financial results, followed by the FY 2002/03 financial outlook, a summary of the performance of the Town's primary General Fund revenue sources, and recommends a budget authorization of excess beginning fund balance for Council consideration. PREPARED BY: STEPHEN D. CONWAY Finance & Administrative Services Director Reviewed by: P.SAssistant Town Manager ,CAI i Town Attorney Clerk Finance Community Development Revised: 10/18/02 3:13 pm Reformatted: 5/30/01 PAGE 2 MAYOR AND TOWN COUNCIL SUBJECT: 2002/03 FIRST QUARTER BUDGET PERFORMANCE AND STATUS REPORT -THREE MONTHS ENDING SEPTEMBER 30, 2002. October 16, 2002 The final balances (subject to audit) as of June 30, 2002 indicate that the Town finished the year ahead of expectations, with the General Fund fund balance at approximately $9.9 million dollars, or nearly $400,000 ahead of the mid -year FY 2001/02 balance forecast of $9.5 million presented to Town Council in February 2002. The favorable results for FY 2001/02 were achieved primarily with a combination of operating budget expenditure savings and salary and benefit savings. In the accompanying First Quarter Budget Performance Report, staff presents current fiscal year operating revenue and expenditure trends as they are developing through the first quarter. Additionally, the report outlines the steps staff is recommending to address the potential for revenue shortfalls from the estimated budget amounts. Because it is early in the fiscal year, we are not recommending any formal change in revenue estimates at this time. However, given the current economic climate, we are providing operating revenue and expenditure projections in the report to develop scenarios and estimate the potential for and magnitude of any revenue shortfalls. Included in the report is a Schedule of General Fund Operating Revenues vs. Operating Expenditures for FY 2002/03 that was prepared under a scenario of these potential reductions in revenues materializing, but Town Council should be aware that this is a very early estimate and the estimates provided are preliminary at this point. If the early estimates are confirmed by developing revenue trends, the scenario presented -indicates a possibility of the Town needing to provide -revenues or expenditure reductions of approximately $400,000 to balance operating revenues with operating expenditures for the current year. The report identifies a number ofpotential steps that Town staff can implement to address this need, including further strategic expenditure slowdowns, revenue enhancement opportunities and the use of contingency reserves for a short term basis if necessary. Based upon current estimates and barring no major State revenue take-aways, it is very likely that the Town's current year strategic expenditure reduction efforts along with salary and benefit savings may be enough to bring operating revenues in line with operating expenditures. Staff will continue monitoring all major revenues closely and recommend adjustments as required as the Town moves through the next nine months of FY 2002/03. BACKGROUND: The attached Budget Performance Report is for the three months beginning July 1, 2002 and ending September 30, 2002. The Budget Performance Report presents analysis of key General Fund revenues by category and expenditures by fund and recommendations thereon. The report also includes the audited ending fund balances for the prior fiscal year ending June 30, 2002. A Capital Improvement Plan Status Report that provides an update on capital project activities through the first quarter, will be presented on this meeting's agenda as a separate agenda item. ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT: This budget report is not a project defined under CEQA, and no further action is required. PAGE 3 MAYOR AND TOWN COUNCIL SUBJECT: 2002/03 FIRST QUARTER BUDGET PERFORMANCE AND STATUS REPORT -THREE MONTHS ENDING SEPTEMBER 30, 2002. October 16, 2002 FISCAL IMPACT: The First Quarter Budget Performance Report advises Town Council of early revenue and expenditure trends for FY 2002/03. Because it is early in the fiscal year, Town Council is provided a presentation of revenues and expenditures that is prepared as one potential scenario for planning purposes only. Because it is early in the fiscal year and the revenue picture may change leading to different scenarios, no revisions to adopted revenues or expenditures are recommended at this time. It is anticipated that by mid -year with more revenue data available to the Town, it is probable that certain revenue estimates such as Sales Tax, Interest Income, Transient Occupancy Tax, and Business License revenues may need to be revised downward as explained in the First Quarter Budget Performance Report. Staff will bring forward formal recommendations to adjust revenue estimates at a later date this fiscal year, the most likely timing for this is as part of the FY 2002/03 mid -year report. Council authorization is requested to dedicate $400,000 of excess beginning fund balance for potential use to fund "one-time" operating or capital expenditures, thereby alleviating some demand on current year operating revenues. Under present financial policies the $400,000 of excess beginning fund balance would be reserved for future capital improvements. The authorization requested allows staff to program these funds for either one-time capital or operating use. Any appropriation of these reserve funds would be brought back to Town Council for approval on a separate item during the year. Staffintends to once again implement a combination of strategic expenditure reductions/slowdowns, and to assess, and if possible, implement certain revenue enhancements to meet this potential revenue shortfall. These actions should mitigate any negative impact on Town services, mindful in FY 2002/03 that due to the economic slowdown , the Town must remain vigilant in ensuring balance between on -going expenditures with on -going revenues. Attachments: Budget Performance Report for Three Months Ended September 30, 2002 TOWN OF LOS GATOS BUDGET PERFORMANCE REPORT FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2002 October 14, 2002 FINANCIAL OVERVIEW Upon close of FY 2001/02 ending June 30, 2002, the Town's preliminary financial results for the year ended slightly ahead of forecasted fund balances. The preliminary General Fund total fund balance (subject to audit) of approximately $9.9 million, was nearly $400,000 ahead of the projected ending fiscal year balance of $9.5 million, presented to Town Council on February 14, 2002 at its mid -year FY 2001/02 Budget Performance and Status Report. The excess balances were the result largely of operating expenditure savings due to a combination of salary and benefit savings in authorized positions and departmental strategic expenditure slowdowns. Total fund balances, including the Town's Redevelopment Agency, of $40.4 million for all Town funds decreased by approximately $2.5 million from the prior year amount of $42.9 million. 20,000,000 18,000,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 ❑ FY 00/01 ❑ FY 01 /02 General Fund Special Capital Revenue Project Funds Funds Debt Service Service Funds Funds Intemal Fiduciary Funds The FY 2001/02 reductions in the General Fund and Capital Projects fund balances are indicative of the major investments made to the Town's infrastructure during the fiscal year. Looking closely at funds where decreases occurred, the drop in fund balances resulted from the significant activity in FY 2001/02 capital assets investment (i.e. Street Repair & Resurfacing, Town Plaza, Fiesta Way property purchases, and other improvements). It should be noted that the decrease in the General Fund's fund balance was not the result of operating expenditures exceeding operating revenues, but instead was due to capital activity during the fiscal year. For instance, the $3.7 million decline in General Fund balances can be explained by two large investments made by the Town in FY 01/02. The first being an approximately $1.95 million investment in strategic real estate located on Fiesta Way, and the second a transfer of approximately $1.9 million dollars to the Town's GFAR Fund to be used for the FY 01/02 Street Repair and Resurfacing Projects. The $3.2 million decrease in the Town's Capital Projects fund balances was the result of the improvements scheduled in the second year of the two-year phasing of significant capital projects constructed during FY 01/02. Chief among these improvements was an approximately $5.2 million dollars in expenditures for the Town's Street Repair and Resurfacing Project. This project was funded by a combination of GFAR fund balances and a FY 01/02 budgeted transfer of approximately $1.9 million dollars from the Town's General Fund. In recent years the Town had accumulated significant reserves in the Town's General Fund and Capital Projects fund (GFAR) to provide funding for these critical capital improvements and land acquisitions. If not for this prudent action, the Town would not have been able to fund the high level of capital activity that was accomplished in FY 01/02. Due to the lack of growth in revenues in FY 01/02, the Town implemented a series of steps such as strategic freezing or "de -funding" of unfilled positions, implementing departmental efficiencies, and other measures to limit expenditure growth in the Town's General Fund so that operating expenditures did not exceed operating revenues for the fiscal year. These measures led to the Town's final fund balances exceeding estimates by approximately $400,000. By closing the year approximately $400,000 ahead of expectations, the Town is fortunate to have some flexibility upon its final close of books to set aside reserve dollars to be utilized to address some one-time funding requirements for FY 02/03. By doing so, the Town can then potentially reduce some of the demand upon current year revenues to fund all current year General Fund expenditures. FINANCIAL OUTLOOK FY 2002/03 First quarter results ending September 30, 2002 continue to affirm that the general economic slowdown of 2001/2002 and the after-effects of the events of September 11, 2001 are still combining to negatively impact the Town's operating revenues, most notably Sales Tax and Transient Occupancy Tax. The Town had budgeted modest recoveries in these revenues for FY 2002/03 from the prior year. As initial forecasts indicate in the major General Fund revenue projections, the revenue will most likely exceed the amounts received for FY 2001/02, though they may not increase at the amounts projected. This is illustrated further in the following Financial Outlook projections: FINANCIAL OUTLOOK FY 2002/03 • Sales Tax Revenue • Description The State Board of Equalization allocates one (1.0) cent of the eight (8.0) cents of local sales tax collected by merchants on retail sales and taxable services transacted within the Town of Los Gatos. Revenues are remitted to the Town on a monthly basis. This revenue is placed in the General Fund for unrestricted uses. Analysis In developing the Town's FY 2002/03 budget last spring, the general economic slowdown had reduced sales tax significantly from levels received in prior years. Economists were forecasting a recovery to begin in 2002, with a general growth rate of approximately 4%. Based upon forecasts for recovery and in consultation with the Town's sales tax $10,000,000 / $9,000,000 $8,000,000 / $7,000,000 $6,000,000 $5,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,000,000 $2,000,000 r $1'000,000 $- consultant (MBIA) staff programmed a small increase in this revenue source, from $7,000,000 to $7,500,000. The recovery has not materialized to levels forecasted earlier in 2002. It may be necessary to revise this revenue source downwards. The best estimates at this point in the year indicates the amount is more likely to be approximately $7,200,000. Staff is not proposing a formal change in estimates until more information becomes known. Staff is encouraged that one local internet based business is gaining momentum and its growth is reflected in its contribution to the Town's sales tax collections. The October 2, 2002 Wall Street Journal reports that car sales rose nationally at a rate of 2.9% in September, another hopeful sign for the local auto dealers who represent nearly 30% of the Town's sales tax collections. Quarterly and Annual Revenues 5-Year History FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 1st Quarter Actual Revenues Fiscal Year Total Actual Revenues Fiscal Year Total Estimated Revenues 1st Quarter Percent of Total FY 1999 $ 1,282,765 $ 5,688,125 22.55% FY 2000 $ 1,358,059 $ 7,932,104 17.12% 25.46°% • 1st Quarter Actual Revenues O Fiscal Year Total Actual Revenues • Fiscal Year Total Estimated Revenues FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 $ 2,400,559 $ 1,490,292 $ 1,336,124 $ 9,429,256 $ 6,953,880 $ 7,500,000 21.43% 17.81% Recommended Budget Revision No Change 3 FINANCIAL OUTLOOK FY 2002/03 • Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue Description The Town of Los Gatos levies a 10 per cent Transient Occupancy Tax on all hotel/motel rooms within Town limits to help fund Town services provided to transient lodgers. Analysis The Transient Occupancy Tax Revenues received in the first quarter of the fiscal year reflects the drop in occupancy rates for nearly all Town hotels and motels. This decrease is due in large measure to the disruption in travel caused by the tragic events of September 11, 2001 and the decline in business travelers due $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 $- seeking lodging as a result of the general economic slowdown. The Town expects the occupancy rates to improve with the re- establishment of air travel and normal business activity. The first quarter of FY 2002/03 reflects a decrease from the prior year. As a result, we may be recommending a downward revision in this revenue source at mid -year. An encouraging sign is that a new hotel is schedule for opening in late November, early December of 2002, which should aid this revenue source to better track with the revenue amounts estimated for the fiscal year. Quarterly and Annual Revenues 5-Year History a FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 1st Quarter Actual Revenues Fiscal Year Total Actual Revenues Fiscal Year Total Estimated Revenues 1st Quarter Percent of Total • 1st Quarter Actual Revenues O Fiscal Year Total Actual Revenues IN Fiscal Year Total Estimated Revenues FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 $ 152,764 $ 144,362 $ 154,501 $ 122,227 $ 113,874 $ 1,025,042 $ 1,215,702 $ 1,286,276 $ 788,408 $ 1,100,000 14.90% 11.87% 12.01% 15.50% 10.35% Recommendell Budget Revisions: No Change 4 FINANCIAL OUTLOOK FY 2002/03 • Motor Vehicle In -Lieu Fees • Description The State of California imposes an annual Motor Vehicle License Fee (MVLF) on the ownership of a registered motor vehicle, based on the vehicle's sales price. This fee is "in -lieu" of a personal property tax on the vehicles. For those vehicles brought into California from out of state, the fee is based on the vehicle's market value at the time of California registration. After the Department of Motor Vehicles collects this fee, the State remits the funds to the cities and counties on a monthly basis. The State allocates the MVLF revenue, less a small allocation for administrative costs, by way of a complex formula involving population and property tax revenues. The Town has pledged this revenue as collateral for repayment of the 1992 Certificates of Participation. $1,800,000 $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 $- Analysis MVLF revenue is historically stable revenue for the Town, representing approximately 6% of annual General Fund revenues each year. The five-year history shown in the chart below illustrates a steady increase in fees, aided by the small increase in local population and the continued escalation in vehicle sales prices. First quarter receipts of $458,164 further supports this trend of increasing revenues. Revenues for the remainder of the fiscal year are expected to match budgeted projections however, there is concern that State deficits may prompt cuts to this local government revenue source, especially after the November general elections. The Town must continue its efforts at the State level to protect this vital funding source. Quarterly and Annual Revenues 5-Year History FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 1st Quarter Actual Revenues Fiscal Year Total Actual Revenues Fiscal Year Total Estimated Revenues FY 1999 $ 339,663 $ 1,297,326 1st Quarter Revenue Percent of Total 26.2% FY 2000 $ 375,723 $ 1,478,990 FY 2001 $ 401,646 $ 1,597,247 25.4% 25.1 ■ 1st Quarter Actual Revenues ❑ Fiscal Year Total Actual Revenues • Fiscal Year Total Estimated Revenues FY 2002 FY 2003 $ 423,699 $ 458,164 $ 1,600,588 $ 1,749,000 26.5% 26.2% Recommended Budget Revision No Change 5 FINANCIAL OUTLOOK FY 2002/03 • Interest Income Revenue Description The Town earns Interest Income revenue by investing cash not immediately required for daily operations in a number of money market instruments. These investments are made within parameters as stated in the Investment Policy approved by the Town Council. The Town's goal is to achieve a competitive rate of retuvi while protecting the safety of those funds. Interest Income revenue for the Town is primarily dependent upon two factors: the cash balance in the Town's investment portfolio, and the yield on those funds. $3,000,000 $2, 500,000 $2,000,000 $1, 500, 000 $1, 000, 000 $500,000 $- ♦ Analysis As mentioned in the First Quarter Budget Performance Report, the Town's cash balances have decreased this fiscal year in accordance with the Town's planned two- year phasing of its Capital Expenditure program (more than $6 million in GFAR project expenditures), leading to a lower cash balance on which interest is earned. The adopted budgeted interest revenue is lower than the prior year, but may need to be revised lower due to record low interest rates not seen since the 1960's. Quarterly and Annual Revenues 5-Year History FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 1st Quarter Actual Revenues Fiscal Year Total Actual Revenues Fiscal Year Total Estimated Revenues 1st Quarter Revenue Percent of Total FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001 $ 160,444 $ 64,097 $ 725,385 $ 1,183,306 $ 1,491,173 $ 2,835,006 13.6% 4.3% 25.6% • 1st Quarter Actual Revenues ❑ Fiscal Year Total Actual Revenues ■ Fiscal Year Total Estimated Revenues FY 2002 FY 2003 $ 90,608 $ 290,191 $ 1,572,781 $ 1,400,000 5.8% 20.7% Recommended Budget Revision No Change 6 FINANCIAL OUTLOOK FY 2002/03 • Property Tax Revenue • Description Property Tax is one of the Town's largest revenue sources, accounting for 20.76% of the FY 02/03 budgeted General Fund revenue. Property Tax distributions are largely received in the third and fourth quarters of the fiscal year, meaning revenue receipts are not reflected proportionately in the chart below, by quarter. Property Tax is levied at one percent of the assessed value of the property, of which the Town receives approximately thirteen cents per dollar paid to the County Assessors Office. The assessed value of real property appraised by the County Assessor is the 1975/76 assessment role value, adjusted by a two percent inflation factor thereafter. When property changes hands or new construction occurs, property is reassessed at its current market value. $5,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,000,000 $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $- Real property values critically impact revenues. With the passage of Proposition 13, voters in California limited the tax rate that can be imposed by the Town on property. With this limitation on rates, the higher the aggregate property value, the higher the revenue generated. Analysis The County of Santa Clara indicated to the Town during development of the FY 2002/03 budget process that a number of assessment appeals had been filed on properties located in Los Gatos. [t appears from the first quarter receipts that the turnover of older pre -Proposition 13 housing stock is still sustaining some property tax growth so that the revenue estimates of moderate growth appear at this early point in the fiscal year to be valid. Quarterly and Annual Revenues 5-Year History FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 1st Quarter Actual Revenues Fiscal Year Total Actual Revenues Fiscal Year Total Budgeted Revenues 1st Quarter Percent of Total FY 1999 FY 2000 $ 7,862 $ 83,784 $ 3,414,762 $ 3,724,022 0.23% 2.25% ■ 1st Quarter Actual Revenues ❑ Fiscal Year Total Actual Revenues ■ Fiscal Year Total Budgeted Revenues FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 $ 84,218 $ 95,160 $ 126,035 $ 4,114,196 $ 4,114,196 $ 4,806,000 2.05% 2.31% 2.62% Recommended Budget Revision No Change 7 FINANCIAL OUTLOOK FY 2002/03 • Business License Tax Revenue • Description The Town of Los Gatos requires businesses to obtain a business license if a business is located within Town limits, or if an agent of a business conducts operations within Town limits. The Business License Tax is based on the type of business activity. Activities such as retail sales, wholesale, and manufacturing are based on estimated gross receipts, on a sliding scale. Other Business License Tax revenues are based on flat fees as set forth in the Town Code. Annual business license renewals are due and payable in advance on January 2"d of each year. New business license applications for flat -fee based businesses are pro -rated by quarter, from the date of application to the end of the year. $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400, 000 $200,000 $- Analysis The first quarter of FY 2002 reflects a small decrease from the same quarter in the prior year, another indicator of weakness in the local business sector. Of note though, is that Business License Tax revenue received in the first quarter is primarily comprised of new Business License fees. The majority of Business License revenue is received in the second and third quarters of the fiscal year for the annual Business License renewal fees. During preparation of the budget, staff anticipated the softening economy would impact gross receipt Business Tax fees. These revenues comprise approximately 40% of the Business License fees while flat fees make up the other 60°A) of revenue. Budgeted revenues were therefore established at a small amount above actual amounts received in FY 2001/02. Quarterly and Annual Revenues 5-Year History 7' din 7 AIR mil• 4.■11 FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 1st Quarter Revenues Fiscal Year Total Revenues Fiscal Year Total Estimated Revenues 1st Quarter Revenue Percent of Total ■ 1st Quarter Actual Revenues O Fiscal Year Total Actual Revenues ■ Fiscal Year Total Est imated Revenues FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 $ 52,330 $ 59,002 $ 44,720 $ 50,655 $ 956,710 $1,000,281 $ 995,699 $ 978,298 5.47% 5.90% 4.49% 5.18% FY 2003 $ 41,428 $ 1,000,000 4.14% Recommended Budget Revision No Change 8 As shown in the Sales Tax revenue projections, early estimates for FY 2002/03 project collections of $7.2 million - an increase from the prior year amount of $6.9 million, but less than the FY 2002/03 budgeted amount of $7.5 million. Because it is still early in the fiscal year and three months of revenue data is not sufficient for reliable projections, staff is not recommending a change in this revenue estimate at this time. However, we will watch this very closely and may propose a change in estimates at mid -year if needed, once more information becomes available. The Town's Transient Occupancy Taxes continue to reflect the general slowdown in business/holiday travel in Silicon Valley experienced in 2001 and 2002. Staff will continue to monitor Transient Occupancy Tax revenues closely and will recommend any modifications to revenue estimates upon receipt of more information, most likely at mid -year. Intergovernmental revenues, most notably the Town's budgeted $1,749,000 of Motor Vehicle License In -Lieu fees are also threatened by the continuing State of California budget deficit. Though the adopted State of California budget passed recently did not include any takes of this revenue source, Town staff has been advised by the officials from the League of California Cities that this revenue source remains in jeopardy as it could be seized by the State to help balance its current budget deficits. This threat is believed to increase after the November elections. If this revenue source were to be dramatically impacted, Town staff will bring to the Town Council its recommendations on how the budget will need to be revised to accommodate this negative impact on Town operating revenues. It is likely also that the General Fund interest income estimates will need to be lowered. Contributing to this potential reduction are lower overall investment balances due to the aggressive capital program carried out by the Town in FY 2001/02 and FY 2002/03. Also, the interest rates the Town can achieve on its invested funds are at rates not seen since the sixties. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, current 6-month CD rates are at 1.75%, and the 10-year Treasury yields are currently 4.57%. On a positive note, Town staff anticipates the opening of a new hotel by late November or early December 2002 which should help the Town's Transient Occupancy Tax revenue collections. Other positive news is that Property Tax collections appear to be tracking with FY 2002/03 budget forecasts. Additionally, the Wall Street Journal reported that nationwide car sales rose 2.9% in September 2002, a positive sign for the Town's local auto dealers and the associated sales tax revenue generated by this activity. Staff is also reviewing revenue enhancements to fill in gaps in the Town's current revenue structure. These enhancements would most probably be implemented in the FY 2003/04 proposed budget. The first quarter actuals and early revenue estimate scenarios are incorporated into the General Fund Operating Revenues vs. Operating Expenditures Schedule presented in the following Financial Summaries, Projection and Recommendations section of this report. Under this declining revenue scenario, the schedule reflects a projected operating revenue shortfall of approximately $400,000 for FY 2002/03. The projection is an early estimate scenario, and as indicated earlier, Finance staff does not recommend formal revision of any operating revenue budgeted amounts until revenue trends become more evident. 9 FY 2001/02 :ketosis & FY 2002/03 Projections Town of Los Gatos Schedule of General Fund Operating Revenues versus Operating Expenditures For the period ended September 30,2002 Final 1st Qtr •/. of Adopted Adjusted 1st Qtr '/. of FY02/03 Balance Budget Actuals Budget Budget Budget Actuals Budget Finance FY 01/02 FY 01/02 FY 01/02 FY 01/02 FY 02/03 FY 02/03 FY 02/03 FY 02/03 Projection Revenues General Property Tax S 4,784.476 5 4,551.100 S 141,085 3% S 5,106.000 S 5,106,000 S 126,035 2% S 5.106,000 Sales & Use Tax 6,953,880 7,000,000 1,490,292 21% 7,500,000 7.500.000 1,336,124 18% 7.200.000 Franchise Fees 990.861 940.000 82,327 9% 1,039.000 1,039.000 76,398 7% 1.040.000 Transient Occ Tax 788,408 900.000 122,227 14% 1,100.000 1.100.000 113,874 10•/ 900.000 Business License Tax 978.350 1.100.000 50,655 5% 1.000.000 1,000,000 40,68.3 4 % 980.000 Licenses & Permits 719,635 829.200 182,985 22% 761,500 761.500 290,511 38% 750.500 Motor Vehicle In Lieu 1.600.588 1.680.000 423,69% 25% 1,749.000 1,749,000 458,164 26% 1.749,000 Other Intergovernmental 1,392.465 1.280.053 269,527 21% 1,212,700 1.212.700 252,926 21% 1.212.700 Charges for Services 2.049.022 2.026.950 391,507 19% 2.099.975 2,099,975 481,853 23% 2.099,975 Fines & Forfeitures 532,680 968.970 106,84E I I% 78,500 78,500 12,670 16% 78.500 Interest 1.925.867 1,700,000 443,694 26% 1.596.850 1,596,850 290,191 18% 1.200.000 GASB inv to market adj per auditors -353.086 -353,086 - - Miscellaneous/Other 292.533 208,890 49,070 23% 266.857 266,857 186$40 70% 277.857 Authorized Use of Reserves Fund Transfers 283,165 289.810 114047 39% 1.088.700 1.088,700 149,076 14% 1.088.700 Total Renews, $ 22,93/1,845 S 23,474,473 S 3,514,877 15% S 24,599,042 S 24,599,082 5 3,815,345 16% S 23,683,232 Expenditures (includes enc & carryovers) Mayor & Council 121.312 157.600 22,616 14% 160.000 160.000 27,001 17% 156.800 Clerks 337,696 325,600 65,0611 20% 383,400 383,400 83,711 22% 375,732 Attorney 289,921 399.000 53,476 15% 250,500 250,500 45,222 18% 245.490 Treasurer 55.833 65,100 10,523 16% 63.300 63,300 9,907 16% 62,034 Manager 1,854,024 2.064.500 362,793 18% 2,153,400 2.153.400 407,460 190/. 2,110,332 Comm Development 1,983.197 2,453,850 364,67E 15% 2.548.250 2,548,250 445,933 17% 2.497285 Parks & Public Works 4,377,541 5,034,990 925,61, 18% 5,032,685 5,032,685 1420,534 20% 4,932,031 Police 9,739,700 9,885.023 2,008,430 20•/. 9,595.590 9.595.590 1990,400 21% 9,403.678 Community Services 912,394 1,020,080 ' 146,475 14% 1,007,676 1,007,676 160,146 16% 987,522 Library 1.684,125 1,774.200 373,019 21% 1,882,600 1.882.600 378,782 20% I,844.948 Total Dept Expenses S 21,355342 S 23.179,943 S 4337640': 19°/. 23.077,401 S 23,077,401 S 4,569,09E 20% S 22.615.852 Non -Dept Expenditures and other uses General Government 3,111,517 3,515.645 233679 7% 1,354.250 1,354,250 296,202 22% 1.457.365 Total Non -Dept Expenses S 3.111,517 S 3.515.645 S 2336791 7% S 1,354,250 S 1,354,250 S. 296,202. 22% S 1.457.365 TWA Operating Eap iS ots S 24,467,259 S 26695,588 S 4,571,319 17% S 24,431,651 S 24,431,651 S 4,865,299 20%. S 24,073,217 Piet Operettas Ravens. (RekreCapied $ (1,528,415) $ (3,220.615) S (1.056442),:-, 33%.,:.1 167,43E S 167,431 S (1.049.954) Tresdo & Brdaered Be0ode8 Paid Balance Budgeted BegFund Balance Revenue Budgeted Use of Reserves for Capital Project! Total Budgeted Use of Reserves Pia 1 (389,9115) Total Available for Capital Projects (1,528.415) (3,220,615) (1.056,442) 167,431 167,431 (1,049,9541 1389,9851 Budgeted Capital Trfrs-Per 5 Yr CIP 1.863350 1,863.750 - 207,857 207.857 207.858 100°/, 279,507 Net Simples/Use UabadgeM Reams S (3,392,165) S (5,084.365) S (1,056,442) , 33% S (40,426) S (40,426) S (1,257.812) ra S (669,492) 10 This information aids staff in the development of contingency plans and pro -active steps to address the potential for revenue shortfalls on a timely basis. The Financial Summaries, Projections, and Recommendations section provides a discussion of Town major funds at a summary level. Also included is a discussion of the Town's strategies implemented to mitigate the potential downturn in revenues that may be experienced this fiscal year. FINANCIAL SUMMARIES, PROJECTIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS General Fund s stated earlier in this report, the Schedule of FY 02/03 General Fund Operating Revenues vs. Operating Expenditures reflects a scenario of potential downturns in revenue estimates. These adjustments are presented below, but staff does not propose formal amendment by Town Council until mid -year once more revenue data is available to more clearly see the revenue trends develop. Sales Tax Transient Occupancy Tax Tax Interest Income Business License GENERAL FUND REVENUES FY 20020/03 Adopted Budget $ 7,500,000 $ 1,100,000 $ 1,596,850 $ 1,000,000 FY 2002/03 Potential Revisions $ (300,000) $ (200,000) $ (396,850) $ (20,000) FY 2002/03 Revised Scenario $ 7,200,000 $ 900,000 $ 1,200,000 $ 980,000 The early estimates of potential downturns are incorporated into the Schedule of Operating Revenues vs. Operating Expenditures on page 10 as one potential scenario of FY 2002/03 results based on these early forecasts. If the continuing revenue trends continue to support the declining revenue scenario, and operating revenues do not materialize as was estimated in the FY 2002/03 adopted budget, staff anticipates implementing the following steps to address this scenario on a pro -active basis. Expenditure Slowdowns/Reductions and Projected Salary & Benefit Savings-FY 2002/03 The FY 02/03 budget was prepared in an uncertain economic climate. Though economists were forecasting economic growth of 4% for the Bay Area for calendar year 2002, staff was conservative in its revenue estimates used to fund the FY 02/03 budget. Despite the conservative approach, this report indicates that revenues may still need to be adjusted for the lag in the recovery that was projected for 2002. The FY 02/03 budget plan did acknowledge the uncertainty of the future and therefore laid out contingency plans staff would commence upon operating revenue reductions. In addressing funding needs, Town staff began reviewing operations for possible strategic expenditure slowdowns/reductions. The Town Manager and each department will be reviewing these potential slowdowns/reductions with the priority to limit the impact to Town services. Additionally, the Town conservatively budgets its personnel costs assuming top pay step and zero position vacancies during the year. At the time of this report, actual salary and benefit 11 reports indicate that all employees are not at their top step, and 6 vacant authorized positions remain to be tilled. Savings through strategic expenditure reductions and salary and benefit savings are currently projected to be nearly $500,000 for the fiscal year. These savings alone may be sufficient to balance operating revenues with operating expenditures. Other pro -active steps that staff will be utilizing to address any revenue shortfalls include the following: Surplus Beginning Fund Balance After establishing all reserves to their required levels, the available budgeted beginning fund balance after audit is established at approximately $400,000. In past years, this amount was usually reserved for future capital improvements according to Town Financial Policy. Because of the reduced revenue scenario for FY 02/03, staff requests the flexibility to utilize this funding to address one-time capital or operating funding needs. Any potential appropriation of this surplus will be brought forward to Town Council for approval as part of an approved budget adjustment on a separate agenda item. De funding of Authorized Positions Part of the Town's FY 02/03 budget development strategy was to de -fund certain identified authorized positions. Staff is recommending continuing that strategy through the current fiscal year and possibly implementing it upon certain vacancies occurring in staff positions as they are identified in the current year. Internal Service Fund Balance and User Charges As part of the FY 02/03 budget development, staff conducted a detailed review of the approximately $8.9 million of Fund Balances in the Town's Internal Service Funds. These funds provide resources for MIS services, equipment replacement, building and vehicle maintenance, and Town -wide supplies by charging a rate to the General Fund to pay for these services. Staff was able to reduce Internal Service fund rates charged to the users (primarily the General Fund departments) thereby lowering General Fund costs. Staff believes there are adequate balances in these funds to maintain lower rates in the future to help address potential revenue shortfalls. Economic Vitality Efforts An important component in the steps the Town can take on a pro -active basis to address its long- term funding needs, is an active economic vitality effort. Though the Town has strong reserves, these are one-time sources of funding designated for one-time needs. The Town is not particularly strong in reliable, stable, on -going revenues that can support the Town's annual operating costs. The Town's sales tax base needs to be retained and enhanced for the future. With the addition in January 2002 of the Redevelopment Manager, the Town is continuing to implement the development of a business retention strategy, and a sales tax diversification effort. Reserves for Economic Uncertainty In adopting the FY 02/03 budget, staff was able to achieve a balanced budget without accessing this funding source. The adopted budget however did specify that if necessary, this reserve could be drawn upon for a short term basis until more permanent steps could be put in place to 12 address operating revenue shortfalls. Staff would make efforts to use this reserve for expenditures that are more "one-time" in nature, as opposed to using them for normal operating expenditures. It should be noted that in response to the economic downturn and the events of Sel,;ember 11 th, many local governments in the local area utilized their contingency reserves to balance their FY 02/03 budgets as a short-term measure until the forecasted recovery begins to take effect or operations can be effectively set at levels supported by operating revenues. All Other Funds Special Revenue Funds Of special note here is the new Parking Fund, which was created to . account for parking enforcement revenues and expenditures to provide specific data regarding that activity. Staff is aware that citation revenue is lagging expenditures for the fiscal year to date. Staff believes there was a downturn in revenues due to the testing period of the new mobile citation technology. Police Department staff expects revenues to be brought in line with budget estimates as the year progresses. Town staff will continue to monitor this revenue source. No revision to adopted revenues or expenditures is required at this time. SPECIAL REVENUE FUNDS FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS FY 2002/03 Parking Solid Sewer Management Waste CDBG Non Point Maint. LID's BEGINNING FUND BALANCE - 432,528 1,144,573 227,288 - 122,620 ANNUAL REVENUE BUDGET 1,206,250 169,400 337,146 153,360 580,600 41,482 Actuals 1st Quarter 141,145 26,670 3,237 150,660 580,600 36,968 ANNUAL EXPENDITURE BUDGET 1,185,620 193,100 506,868 150,660 580,600 46,300 1st Quarter Expenditures (Actuals by Category) Salary Expense 79,121 9,737 1,213 13,770 67,783 - Fringe Benefits 21,032 1,452 145 4,097 14,351 - Materials & Supplies 34,569 6,473 2,905 933 14,757 13,263 Internal Service 20,137 782 124 10,346 21,213 Transfers 4,120 4,374 22,200 85,600 6,400 Total Expenditure Actuals 1st Qtr. 154,859 22,564 8,761 51,346 203,704 19,663 1ST QUARTER ENDING FUND BALANCE * (13,714) 436,634 1,139,049 326,602 376,896 139,925 *Based on actuals Capital Projects Funds Capital Project Funds are tracking in accordance with the FY 2002/03 adopted budget. Staff is recommending no changes at this time, however staff will be reviewing, in concert with the Town Manager and Town Council, some of the projects scheduled for FY 02/03 for potential strategic slowdowns of expenditure activity to aid in cash balances available for General Fund investment earnings in light of the aggressive capital spending plan in the past two years. If operating revenues will support it, Staff intends to maintain the General Fund's current year commitment to the Town's Capital Improvement Plan. 13 CAPITAL PROJECT FUNDS FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS FY 2002/03 BEGINNING FUND BALANCE ANNUAL REVENUE BUDGET Actuals 1st Quarter ANNUAL EXPENDITURE BUDGET 1st Quarter Expenditures (Actuals by Category) Engineering Design Construction Engineering Constrution Transfers Total Expenditure Actuals 1st Qtr. GFAR Traffic Grant Funded Storm Utility Gas Fund Mitigation CIP's Drains Underground Tax 8,297,503 201,200 19,711 638,232 1,677,111 1,108,517 675,432 70,000 1,284,970 106,131 129,800 616,700 86,253 4,374 53,342 14,006 110.406 5,931,067 193,100 506,868 150,660 580,600 46,300 40,425 745,573 23,780 26.868 2,980 339 54,929 809,778 26,868 2,980 - 55,268 1st QUARTER ENDING FUND BALANCE* 7,573,978 174,332 21,105 691,574 1,691,117 1,163,655 *Based on actuals Funding for the Town's capital portion of a skatepark has been projected at approximately $125,000. Funding is currently assumed to be provided through the Town's State Park Bond funding allocation which staff would apply for at the time the project plan is finalized. An alternative to this source would be to utilize GFAR reserves which could be programmed and appropriated in the Town's FY2003-08 Capital Improvement Plan. The funding for skatepark annual operations and maintenance is currently estimated to be approximately $50,000 per year. These costs will need to be funded from an on -going operating revenue source on an annual basis, once a park is in operation. Internal Service Funds Internal Service Funds are tracking in accordance with the adopted FY 2002/03 adopted budget. No revision to adopted revenues or expenditures is required at this time. Staff believes there is still potential for further operating transfers in future years from these funds as excess balances are still available in greater amount than present needs for funding in a number of these funds. INTERNAL SERVICE FUNDS FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS FY 2002/03 BEGINNING FUND BALANCE ANNUAL REVENUE BUDGET I st Quarter Actuals Equipment Workers Self Mmgt Info Vehicle Building Replacement Comp. Insurance Stores Systems Maint. Maint. 3,483,330 2,157,428 1,914,634 193,318 1,826,403 41,426 384,333 558,400 533,400 806,800 83,250 775,100 539,000 1,085,250 151,425 115,806 176,428 17,080 251,594 134,750 265,853 ANNUAL EXPENDITURE BUDGET 1,061,990 728,000 948,800 83,250 1,245,400 538,950 1,085,250 1st Quarter Expenditures (Actuals by Category) Salary Expense 6,283 17,136 41,473 43,627 14,556 Fringe Benefits 1,363 3,469 - 8,754 10,678 3,930 Materials & Supplies 1,476 644 14,114 12,380 143,081 37,141 185,181 Program Costs/Capital Purchases 91 112,495 419,035 19,823 864 Transfers - 175,000 Total Expenditure Actuals 1st Qtr. 1,567 120,785 453,754 12,380 388,131 91,446 204,531 1st QTR ENDING FUND BALANCE* 3.633,188 2,152,449 1,637,308 198,018 1,689,866 84,730 445,655 *Based on actuals 14 Trust and Agency Funds Town Trust and Agency Funds have fund balances as of June 30, 2002 of $284,396 for Parking District #88 and $193,396 in the Library Trust Funds. No budget revisions are contemplated at this time for these funds. Redevelopment Agency The Agency's FY 02/03 and FY 2002-07 Capital Improvement Plan adopted budgets are incorporated into the Redevelopment Agency's financial statements and year-to-date actuals as presented below. Note that the beginning negative balance in the capital projects fund is a timing issue, the capital projects fund incurs the expense and then reimburses itself from the proceeds of the $10.7 million dollar 2002 COP issue that was finalized in July 2002. The true interest cost to the Agency for that issue was at an average rate of 4.55 per cent provides a very favorable financing rate for Agency capital projects. The proceeds of the bond issue are being used and appropriated for their intended purpose, eligible capital projects in the downtown project area such as the Town Plaza Reconstruction Project, Downtown Street Repair and Streetscape Projects and Downtown Parking Improvements. TOWN OF LOS GATOS REDEVELOPMENT AGENCY FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS FY 2002/03 Capital Debt Low & Projects Service Moderate Total BEGINNING FUND BALANCE (317,250) 2,581,561 2,053,720 4,318,030 ANNUAL REVENUE BUDGET 9,037,100 3,433,444 813,212 13,283,756 1stQuarter Actuals 1,141,441 154,409 6,811 1,302,661 ANNUAL EXPENDITURE BUDGET 7,897,967 728,000 948,800 9,574,767 1st Quarter Expenditures (Actuals by Category) Salary Expense 74,505 4,842 79,347 Fringe Benefits 8,930 998 9,928 Materials & Supplies 9,979 1,008 10,987 Internal Services 5,024 409 5,433 Debt Service 249,895 249,895 Capital Improvements 1,326,926 - 1,326,926 Total 1st Quarter Expenditure Actuals 1,425,364 249,895 7,257 1,682,516 1st QUARTER ENDING FUND BALANCE (601,173) 2,486,075 2,053,274 3,938,175 *Based on actuals 15 CONCLUSION As demonstrated in the First Quarter Budget Performance Report, the Town is in a sound overall financial position despite the economic uncertainties the economy is facing this year. It is this overall financial strength that enables the Town to effectively manage the current economic downturn and its associated revenue reductions through careful monitoring of revenue and expenditure trends and reacting to them pro -actively before a financial crisis presses upon the Town. The steps identified in this report when incorporated will aid the Town's ability to weather the downturn in revenues without causing an immediate disruption to Town services or the current year's capital improvement program. Staff will continue to closely monitor all current year revenue and expenditure activity, mindful of the necessity to balance operating revenues with operating expenditures. We also need to be aware and vigilant in developing appropriate revenue sources for on -going operating and capital needs of the community. 16